Arizona State vs UCLA Prediction - College Football Picks 11/11/23

UCLA Bruins (6-3) vs Arizona State Sun Devils (2-7)

Game Info: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 9:00 pm (Rose Bowl)

Betting Odds: UCLA Bruins -17.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Arizona State Sun Devils will play the UCLA Bruins on Saturday night at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California. Arizona State only has one win against a FBS team this season, while UCLA has won two of their last three games. 

Arizona State Preview

The Arizona State Sun Devils are 2-7 (1-5) this season after they lost to Utah by a score of 55-3 in their last game. Arizona State trailed 24-3 at halftime and they were blown out in the second half. The Sun Devils were out gained by a total of 513-83 and went 1-16 on third downs in the loss. Arizona State’s only FBS win this season came against Washington State, but they have played Washington, Colorado, and Cal tough. The ASU offense is averaging 17.8 points per game with 229 passing yards per game and 103.8 rushing yards per game, while going 33.8% on third downs. Trenton Bourguet (questionable) has thrown for 1,195 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions for the Sun Devils this season. Cameron Skattebo has rushed for 565 yards and seven scores, while Elijhah Badger has caught 46 passes for 533 yards and two touchdowns. The Arizona State defense is giving up 29.7 points against per game this season. 

UCLA Preview

The UCLA Bruins are 6-3 (3-3) this year after they lost to Arizona by a score of 27-10 last week. UCLA trailed 14-7 at the half and 17-10 in the fourth quarter, but they couldn’t get anything going in the final quarter. The Bruins were out gained by a total of 429-271, but did force one turnover in the game. UCLA did defeat Colorado and Stanford in the two games prior to this loss. The UCLA offense is scoring 28.6 points per game with 240.9 passing yards per game and 204.6 rushing yards per game, while going 43.9% on third downs. Ethan Garbers (questionable) has thrown for 786 yards, six touchdowns, and three interceptions for the Bruins this year. Dante Moore may also see some time under center, but he is also banged up. Carson Steele has rushed for 712 yards and six scores, while Logan Loya has caught 37 passes for 463 yards and three touchdowns. The UCLA defense is allowing 16.3 points against per game this year. 

UCLA Bruins Team Facts

  • The underdog has won three of the last four games between Arizona State and UCLA.
  • UCLA has covered the spread in five of its last six games against Arizona State.
  • UCLA has won the first half in six of its last eight games against conference opponents at Rose Bowl.
  • Six of UCLA's last seven games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

Arizona State Sun Devils Team Facts

  • Arizona State has lost each of its last nine games as a road underdog.
  • Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games in November.
  • Arizona State has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
  • Four of Arizona State's last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pick

Arizona State went into their last game playing much better, but Utah dominated them from start to finish. The Sun Devils will look to bounce back here against a UCLA team that has been able to beat up on the bottom of the PAC-12 this year. The Bruins have defeated Washington State, Stanford, and Colorado in conference play, so they should be able to handle Arizona State has well. The Sun Devils offense has been an issue all season long and they are going to struggle against this UCLA defense. Take the Bruins here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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