Wisconsin vs Indiana Prediction - College Football Picks 11/4/23

Indiana Hoosiers (2-6) vs Wisconsin Badgers (5-3)

Game Info: Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 12:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)

Betting Odds: Indiana Hoosiers +9.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Wisconsin Badgers will play the Indiana Hoosiers in a Big Ten game on Saturday afternoon at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Indiana. Wisconsin has lost two of their last three games, while Indiana has lost four games in a row. 

Wisconsin Preview

The Wisconsin Badgers are 5-3 (3-2) this season after they lost to Ohio State by a score of 24-10 last week. Wisconsin tied the game at 10 in the third quarter, but allowed the last 14 points in the game for the loss. The Badgers were out gained by a total of 407-258, but they did force three turnovers in the game. Wisconsin did defeat Illinois in the game before Ohio State, but they lost to Iowa in the game before that. The Wisconsin offense is scoring 24.8 points per game with 210 passing yards per game and 169.6 rushing yards per game, while going 42.6% on third downs. Braedyn Locke has thrown for 534 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception for the Badgers this season. Braelon Allen (questionable) has rushed for 754 yards and eight scores, while Will Pauling has caught 41 passes for 449 yards and two touchdowns. The Wisconsin defense is allowing 19 points against per game this year. 

Indiana Preview

The Indiana Hoosiers are 2-6 (0-5) this year after they lost to Penn State by a score of 33-24 in their last game. Indiana tied this game at 24 in the fourth quarter, but couldn’t complete the comeback win. The Hoosiers out gained Penn State by a total of 349-342 and turned the ball over twice in the game. Indiana has also lost to Rutgers, Michigan, and Maryland during this four game losing streak. The Indiana offense is averaging 18.6 points per game with 206.9 passing yards per game and 109.5 rushing yards per game, while going 36.6% on third downs. Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 689 yards, six touchdowns, and one interception for the Hoosiers this season. Jaylin Lucas has rushed for 242 yards and two touchdowns, while Donaven McCulley has caught 24 passes for 320 yards and two scores. The Indiana defense is giving up 29.8 points against per game this season.

Indiana Hoosiers Team Facts

  • Indiana has lost 23 of its last 24 games as an underdog.
  • Indiana has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games in November.
  • Indiana has lost the first half in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
  • Each of Indiana's last four games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Wisconsin Badgers Team Facts

  • Wisconsin has won 21 of its last 25 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Wisconsin has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Wisconsin has lost the first half in six of its last eight games against conference opponents.
  • Four of Wisconsin's last five November games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pick

Wisconsin has lost two of their last three games, but they did play Ohio State very tough last week and had a chance to win in the second half. Indiana played Penn State very tough as well last week, but came up short. Indiana’s offense has been an issue all season long, but they did score 24 points last week. The Wisconsin defense is going to make life tough on Indiana in this one, but I don’t love the Wisconsin offense. I think we are going to see a lower scoring game in this matchup between two struggling offenses and I like the under here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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