Texas A&M at Ole Miss Prediction - College Football Picks 11/4/23

Ole Miss Rebels (7-1) vs Texas A&M Aggies (5-3)

Game Info: Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 12:00 pm (Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field)

Betting Odds: Ole Miss Rebels -4.5 -- Over/Under: 56.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Texas A&M Aggies will head up to Oxford to meet the Ole Miss Rebels in SEC play this weekend from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on ESPN. Texas A&M holds the head-to-head lead, 9-3, but Ole Miss has won the last two matchups under Lane Kiffin.

Texas A&M Aggies Preview

Texas A&M moved to 5-3 after defeating South Carolina at home, 30-17. The Aggies avoided a third straight loss with a strong effort against SC, and they’ll look to become bowl-eligible here on Saturday. The A&M offense is scoring 32.3 ppg, while passing for 265.8 ypg, rushing for 128.5 ypg, and converting 43.8% of their third downs.

Texas A&M Player Notes

• Max Johnson got A&M back into the win column last weekend with a solid effort, going 20/30 for 249 yards, with a touchdown pass. The former LSU quarterback capitalized on a reeling SC team last week, but he’ll face a much stiffer test here in Oxford, and he’ll look to avoid a repeat performance of the road loss to Tennessee. Johnson has passed for 1,147 yards with eight touchdowns to four interceptions through seven games.

• Junior back Amari Daniels found the endzone in the lead role last weekend, and he’s up to 355 rushing yards on 66 carries for the season.

• Veteran wideout Ainias Smith led the way with 118 yards and a score in the win over SC, and he’s first on the team in receiving with 569 yards on 33 catches.

• Sophomore receiver Evan Stewart leads the Aggies in receptions (37) for 506 yards receiving yards.

• The A&M defense is allowing 19.5 points per game.

Ole Miss Rebels Preview

Ole Miss improved to 7-1 after defeating Vanderbilt at home, 33-7. The Rebels used a fast start to cruise to a smooth homecoming victory, and they’ll aim to win their fifth straight game this weekend. The Ole Miss offense is scoring 38.9 ppg, while passing for 286.5 ypg, rushing for 187.5 ypg, and converting 36.3% of their third downs.

Ole Miss Player Notes

• Jaxson Dart had a solid outing against Vanderbilt, going 19/28 for 240 yards, with a touchdown toss and rush. The former USC quarterback has delivered winning football behind center since the road loss to Bama, and with the Rebels creeping into the AP top ten, look for him to come out sharp in this contest. Dart has thrown for 2,080 passing yards, with 14 touchdowns to four interceptions, and 326 yards and seven scores on the ground through eight starts.

• Sophomore back Quinshon Judkins scored twice in the win over Vandy, and he leads the Rebels in rushing with 691 yards on 146 touches with nine touchdowns.

• Senior wideout Jordan Watkins has caught five passes or more in three of the last five games, and he leads the Rebels in receptions (39) and receiving yards (580).

• Slot man Dayton Wade had his best game of the season with 120 yards versus Vandy, and he’s second on the team with 36 catches and 580 receiving yards.

• The Ole Miss defense has allowed 21.3 points per game.

Texas A&M vs Ole Miss Trends

• A&M is 3-4 against the spread, with a 3-4 O/U record.

• OLE is 6-2 ATS, with a 3-5 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Can Jimbo Fisher and company pin their first signature win here or will Lane Kiffin’s bunch creep higher into CFB playoff territory? I like leaning on the home team here, as Ole Miss has been the stronger squad on both sides of the ball. The Aggies struggled in both of their heavyweight battles with Alabama and Tennessee, while the Rebels have won four straight since their lone blemish in Tuscaloosa. Texas A&M has underwhelmed offensively throughout the season, and if they fall behind here, they may have trouble keeping up with Ole Miss. The margin is manageable, so roll with Mississippi at home for this SEC matchup.