Oregon State at Colorado Prediction - College Football Picks 11/4/23

Colorado Buffaloes (4-4) vs Oregon State Beavers (6-2)

Game Info: Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 10:00 pm (Folsom Field)

Betting Odds: Colorado Buffaloes +13.5 -- Over/Under: 61.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Oregon State Beavers will head down to Boulder to face the Colorado Buffaloes in Pac-12 play this weekend from Folsom Field on ESPN. Oregon State leads the head-to-head series, 7-6, after winning last year’s meeting in Corvallis, but they’ve traded the last four matchups.

Oregon State Beavers Preview

Oregon State dropped to 6-2 after losing to Arizona in Tucson by three, 27-24. The Beavers weren’t able to overcome two four quarter touchdowns from the Wildcats, and they’ll look to bounce back here in Boulder. The OSU offense is scoring 36.4 ppg, while passing for 252.5 ypg, rushing for 197.1 ypg, and converting 43.2% of their third downs.

ORST Player Notes

• DJ Uiagalelei struggled in the fourth quarter versus Arizona, and he finish by going 16/30 for 218 yards with a pair of touchdown passes. The former Clemson QB has struggled noticeably in two road spots this season, and if his defense doesn’t hold off the Colorado attack, he’ll have to do more with his arm here. Uiagalelei has passed for 1,791 yards, with 17 touchdowns to four interceptions through eight starts.

• Sophomore back Damien Martinez gained 96 yards in the loss to Arizona, and he leads the team in rushing at 763 yards on 119 touches.

• Junior wideout Silas Bolden has scored in three of the last four games, and he leads OSU in receptions (37) and receiving yards (522).

• The OSU defense has allowed 21.3 points per game.

Colorado Buffaloes Preview

Colorado dropped to 4-4 after losing to UCLA at the Rose Bowl, 28-16. The Buffaloes fought hard, but they were unable to keep up in the trenches, and they’ll look to rebound here at home. The Colorado offense is scoring 34.4 ppg, while passing for 346.1 ypg, rushing for 86.3 ypg, and converting 43% of their third downs.

Colorado Player Notes

• Shedeur Sanders struggled with the fierce pass rush of UCLA last week, going 27/43 for 217 yards, with a touchdown toss. The junior QB has indeed held the ball a little too long at times this season, but his offensive line simply has to pick things up to provide the time to operate. Sanders has passed for 2,637 yards, with 22 touchdowns to three interceptions thru seven starts.

• The run game has been the Buffs weakest link this season, but freshman RB Dylan Edwards has been versatile out of the backfield, totaling 491 yards (262 rush, 229 rec), while catching 25 passes.

• Xavier Weaver and Jimmy Horn Jr. have been effective on the outside, with the former leading the team in receptions (55) and receiving yards (717). Horn Jr. found the endzone against the Bruins, and he’s caught a team-high five touchdown passes, while recording 50 catches for 471 yards.

• The Colorado defense has allowed 34.8 points per game.

Oregon State vs Colorado Trends

• OSU is 5-3 against the spread, with a 5-3 O/U record.

• CU is 4-3-1 ATS, with a 4-4 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Oregon State may bring an advantage on the physical end into this game, but I believe Colorado will stick around due to how D.J. Uiagalelei performs on the road. These problems have dated back to Clemson, and while the run game should be able to bail him out again, if it comes down to making throws, the game will be up for grabs. The Buffaloes simply have to beef up on the fly, and if they come to play after having a week of feeling the heat, they can make use of the points here at home.