Virginia vs Miami Prediction - College Football Picks 10/28/23

Miami Hurricanes (5-2) vs Virginia Cavaliers (2-5)

Game Info: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 3:30 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

Betting Odds: Miami Hurricanes -18.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Virginia Cavaliers will play the Miami Hurricanes on Saturday afternoon at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Virginia has won two games in a row, while Miami has lost two of their last three games. 

Virginia Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers are 2-5 (1-2) this season after they defeated North Carolina by a score of 31-27 last week. Virginia trailed 24-14 in the third quarter, but ended the game on a 17-3 run for the win. The Cavaliers were out gained by a total of 490-436 and turned the ball over two times in the game. Virginia’s only other win this season came against William & Mary. The Virginia offense is scoring 23.6 points per game with 243.4 passing yards per game and 117.9 rushing yards per game, while going 36.9% on third downs. Tony Muskett has thrown for 781 yards, six touchdowns, and three interceptions for the Cavaliers this season. Perris Jones has rushed for 302 yards and two touchdowns, while Malik Washington has caught 56 passes for 783 yards and six scores. The Virginia defense is allowing 31.1 points against per game this year. 

Miami Preview

The Miami Hurricanes are 5-2 (1-2) this year after they defeated Clemson by a score of 28-20 in their last game. Miami trailed 17-7 in the fourth quarter, but they were able to tie it up and win in double overtime. The Hurricanes out gained Clemson by a total of 362-345 and forced three turnovers in the win. Prior to the win, Miami had lost two games in a row to Georgia Tech and North Carolina. The Miami offense is averaging 36.3 points per game with 288 passing yards per game and 193.9 rushing yards per game, while going 46.9% on third downs. Tyler Van Dyke has thrown for 1,721 yards, 16 touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Hurricanes this season. Henry Parrish Jr. (questionable) has rushed for 452 yards and four touchdowns, while Xavier Restrepo has caught 54 passes for 600 yards and four scores. The Miami defense is giving up 19.1 points against per game this season.

Miami Hurricanes Team Facts

  • Miami (FL) has lost each of its last three October games as a home favorite.
  • Miami (FL) has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 11 October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Eight of Miami (FL)'s last nine games as a favorite against Virginia have gone UNDER the total points line.

Virginia Cavaliers Team Facts

  • Virginia has lost six of its last seven games at Hard Rock Stadium.
  • Virginia has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
  • Each of Virginia's last five games as an underdog against Miami (FL) have gone UNDER the total points line.


The Hurricanes were able to snap their two game losing streak and come up with a big win against Clemson last weekend, while Virginia was able to pick up their first FBS win of the year. Virginia was a huge underdog to North Carolina on the road last weekend, but they apparently didn’t care about that and ended up with a big upset win. Miami needed to get back into the win column after the loss to UNC and the epic collapse against Georgia Tech, and they did that in double overtime. Miami is the much better team in this matchup and I don’t think Virginia has another upset in them. Take the Hurricanes at home. 

David’s Pick Miami -18.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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