Southern Miss vs Appalachian State Prediction - College Football Picks 10/28/23

Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-4) vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-6)

Game Info: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 3:30 pm (Kidd Brewer Stadium)

Betting Odds: Appalachian State Mountaineers -16.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Southern Miss Golden Eagles will play the Appalachian State Mountaineers in a Sun Belt game on Saturday afternoon at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, North Carolina. Southern Miss only has one win on the season, while Appalachian State has lost three of their last four games. 

Southern Miss Preview

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are 1-6 (0-4) this season after they lost to South Alabama by a score of 55-3 last week. Southern Miss allowed the first 34 points in this game and they were absolutely dominated throughout the game. The Golden Eagles were out gained by a total of 647-149 and turned the ball over twice in the loss. Southern Miss has lost six games in a row and they have not had a win over a FBS team yet. The Southern Miss offense is scoring 20.7 points per game with 189.9 passing yards per game and 138 rushing yards per game, while going 34.6% on third downs. Billy Wiles has thrown for 1,259 yards, seven touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Golden Eagles this year. Frank Gore Jr. has rushed for 434 yards and four scores, while Jakarius Caston has caught 21 passes for 334 yards and three touchdowns. The Southern Miss defense is giving up 38.1 points against per game this season.

Appalachian State Preview

The Appalachian State Mountaineers are 3-4 (1-2) this year after they lost to Old Dominion by a score of 28-21 in their last game. Appalachian State led 7-0 in the first quarter, but trailed 17-14 at the half. The Mountaineers did take a 21-20 lead in the third quarter, but allowed the game winning touchdown with about a minute left. The Mountaineers were out gained by a total of 409-379 and went 3-14 on third downs in the loss. Appalachian State also lost to Coastal Carolina in the game before Old Dominion. The Appalachian State offense is averaging 36.7 points per game with 265 passing yards per game and 180.1 rushing yards per game, while going 42% on third downs. Joey Aguilar has thrown for 1,782 yards, 16 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Mountaineers this year. Nate Noel (questionable) has rushed for 652 yards and four scores, while Kaedin Robinson has caught 32 passes for 430 yards and four touchdowns. The Appalachian State defense is allowing 29.9 points against per game this year. 

Appalachian State Mountaineers Team Facts

  • Appalachian State has won 33 of its last 37 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Kidd Brewer Stadium.
  • Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 13 games against conference opponents.
  • Appalachian State has won the first half in 23 of its last 30 games against conference opponents at Kidd Brewer Stadium.
  • Each of Appalachian State's last four October home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Team Facts

  • Southern Miss has lost seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
  • Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Five of Southern Miss' last six games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Southern Miss has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).

Pick

Appalachian State has lost three out of their last four games, but all three losses have come by 7, 3, and 3 points. The Mountaineers are only a couple of plays away from having two or three more wins on the year. On the other side, Southern Miss has been a disaster and has allowed 44+ points in three out of their last four games. I expect the Appalachian State offense to move the ball very easily in this game, but Southern Miss should also find success against a mediocre App State defense. Take the over in this game. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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