BYU at Texas Prediction - College Football Picks 10/28/23

Texas Longhorns (6-1) vs BYU Cougars (5-2)

Game Info: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 3:30 pm (Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium/Jamail Field)

Betting Odds: Texas Longhorns -19.5 -- Over/Under: 50.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The BYU Cougars will head down to Austin to face the Texas Longhorns this weekend in Big 12 play from DKR Stadium on ABC. Texas and BYU have met five times, and the Cougars hold a noticeable, 4-1, series lead, after winning the last two matchups back in 2012 and 2013.

Brigham Young Cougars Preview

BYU improved to 5-2 after defeating Texas Tech in Provo, 27-14. The Cougars capitalized on a fast start, and they’ll look to win consecutive Big 12 games for the first time this weekend in Austin. The BYU offense is scoring 27.6 ppg, while passing for 222.6 ypg, rushing for 79.3 ypg, and converting 30.1% of their third downs.

BYU Player Notes

Kedon Slovis rebounded by tossing a pair of touchdowns in the win over Texas Tech. The veteran quarterback has now thrown multiple scores in five of the last six contests, but after struggling in his first two road starts in conference play, he’ll need to play sharp here in Austin. Slovis has passed for 1,519 yards, with 12 touchdowns to four interceptions through seven games.

• Freshman back LJ Martin gained a season-high 93 yards against TTU,  and he leads BYU in rushing yards (438). 

• Sophomore wideout Chase Roberts found the endzone in last week’s victory, and he leads BYU in receptions (29) and (430) receiving yards.

• The BYU defense is allowing 24.2 points per game.

 

Texas Longhorns Preview

Texas moved to 6-1 after defeating Houston on the road, 31-24. The Longhorns escaped with a fourth-quarter touchdown to win the in-state battle with the Cougars, and they’ll look for a cleaner effort here at home. The Texas offense is scoring 34.4 ppg, while passing for 289.0 ypg, rushing for 179.4 ypg, and converting 38.9% of their third downs.

Texas Player Notes

• Quinn Ewers picked up an injury versus Houston, so Maalik Murphy may get the nod here against BYU. The freshman QB hasn’t played much here in his debut season, but he’ll be able to make his first start at home, along with a week of preparation. Coach Steve Sarkasian hasn’t ruled out playing Arch Manning as well.  

• Sophomore back Jonathan Brooks reached the 150-yard mark for the third game in a row, and he leads the Big 12 in rushing with 825 yards on 128 carries.  

• Third-year wideout Xavier Worthy scored in the win over Houston, and he leads UT in receptions (40) and receiving yards (545). 

• UGA transfer Adonai Mitchell also found the endzone last weekend,  and he’s second on the team with splits of 26/368/5.

• The Texas defense is allowing 17.4 points per game. 

  

BYU vs Texas Trends

BYU is 3-4 against the spread, with a 5-2 O/U record. 

Texas is 4-3 ATS, with a 2-5 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

This will be a big margin to cover with a first-time starter at quarterback, and it leaves the door open for the visiting Cougars to cover. Texas has only covered the massive number in one of their three home games, and we’ve seen this occur often throughout the season. Now, it’s unlikely BYU spoils Texas’ homecoming and season with an upset here, but with the spread sitting a bit high for the circumstance, the Over may bring a bit more security for this Big 12 battle.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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