Arkansas State vs UL-Monroe Prediction - College Football Picks 10/28/23

UL-Monroe Warhawks (2-5) vs Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-4)

Game Info: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 5:00 pm (JPS Field at James L. Malone Stadium)

Betting Odds: UL-Monroe Warhawks -2 -- Over/Under: 56.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves will play the UL-Monroe Warhawks in a Sun Belt game on Saturday evening at Malone Stadium in Monroe, Louisiana. Arkansas State has lost two games in a row, while UL Monroe has lost five consecutive games. 

Arkansas State Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 3-4 (1-2) this year after they lost to Coastal Carolina by a score of 27-17 last week. Arkansas State trailed 17-3 at the half, but did cut the lead to 17-10, before Coastal pulled away. The Red Wolves were out gained by a total of 436-422 and turned the ball over two times in the game. Arkansas State lost to Troy in their previous game, but they did defeat Stony Brook, Southern Miss, and UMass in the three games prior. The Arkansas State offense is scoring 21.4 points per game with 220.6 passing yards per game and 140.7 rushing yards per game, while going 34.1% on third downs. Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 1,156 yards, 12 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while also rushing for 246 yards and two touchdowns for the Red Wolves this season. Ja’Quez Cross has rushed for 394 yards and three touchdowns, while Courtney Jackson has caught 20 passes for 379 yards and five scores. The Arkansas State defense is allowing 35.1 points against per game this year. 

UL-Monroe Preview

The UL-Monroe Warhawks are 2-5 (0-4) this season after they lost to Georgia Southern by a score of 38-28 in their last game. UL-Monroe led 7-0 in the first quarter, but they trailed 31-14 at halftime. UL-Monroe did cut the lead to 31-28 in the fourth quarter, but couldn’t get any closer. The Warhawks out gained Georgia Southern by a total of 429-417 and each team turned the ball over twice. UL-Monroe has lost five games in a row, after starting the season 2-0. The UL-Monroe offense is averaging 19.9 points per game with 173.7 passing yards per game and 160.4 rushing yards per game, while going 28.9% on third downs. Blake Murphy threw for 320 yards, one touchdown, and one interception for the Warhawks in their last game. Isaiah Woullard has rushed for 341 yards and one touchdown, while Tyrone Howell has caught 32 passes for 361 yards and six scores this year. The UL-Monroe defense is giving up 32.7 points against per game this season.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Team Facts

  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last eight October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
  • Thirteen of Louisiana-Monroe's last 15 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Team Facts

  • Arkansas State has lost each of its last nine October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road games in October.
  • Twelve of Arkansas State's last 15 October games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.


Both of these teams have really struggled this season, especially on defense. UL-Monroe has allowed 38+ points in four of their last five games, while Arkansas State has allowed 27+ in four straight. UL-Monroe has lost by one point to Appalachian State and Texas State, and they were within three points of Georgia Southern in the fourth quarter. I like the Warhawks to finally get the win here. 

David’s Pick UL-Monroe -2

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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