New Mexico State vs LA Tech Prediction - College Football Picks 10/24/23

LA Tech Bulldogs (3-5) vs New Mexico State Aggies (5-3)

Game Info: Tuesday, October 24, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Joe Aillet Stadium)

Betting Odds: LA Tech Bulldogs -2.5 -- Over/Under: 51.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New Mexico State Aggies will play the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs in a Conference-USA matchup on Tuesday night at Joe Aillet Stadium in Ruston, Louisiana. New Mexico State has won three games in a row, while Louisiana Tech has lost four of their last five games. 

New Mexico State Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies are 5-3 (3-1) this season after they defeated UTEP by a score of 28-7 last week. New Mexico State was tied 7-7 at the half, but they dominated the second half to pull away for the win. The Aggies out gained UTEP by a total of 439-304 and held them to 2-12 on third downs. New Mexico State has also defeated Sam Houston and FIU during this three game winning streak. The New Mexico State offense is scoring 29.8 points per game with 237.5 passing yards per game and 203.4 rushing yards per game, while going 40.7% on third downs. Diego Pavia has thrown for 1,801 yards, 16 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while also rushing for 525 yards and four touchdowns for the Aggies this year. Monte Watkins has rushed for 415 yards and two touchdowns, while Jonathan Brady has caught 21 passes for 355 yards and three scores. The New Mexico State defense is giving up 21.1 points against per game this season.

Louisiana Tech Preview

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 3-5 (2-2) this year after they lost to Middle Tennessee by a score of 31-23 in their last game. Louisiana Tech trailed 17-9 at the half and they could never erase the deficit in the second half. The Bulldogs out gained their opponent by a total of 419-353, but only went 3-13 on third downs. Louisiana Tech’s only win in their last five games came against UTEP. The Louisiana Tech offense is averaging 26.6 points per game with 243.1 passing yards per game and 141.1 rushing yards per game, while going 32.1% on third downs. Hank Bachmeier has thrown for 934 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions for the Bulldogs this season. Tyre Shelton (questionable) has rushed for 475 yards and five scores, while Smoke Harris has caught 59 passes for 614 yards and three touchdowns. The Louisiana Tech defense is allowing 27.5 points against per game this year.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Team Facts

  • Louisiana Tech has lost four of its last five October games as a favorite.
  • Louisiana Tech has covered the spread in each of its last four matches at Joe Aillet Stadium when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Louisiana Tech has lost the first half in each of its last three home games against conference opponents.
  • Each of Louisiana Tech's last six games in October have gone OVER the total points line.

New Mexico State Aggies Team Facts

  • New Mexico State has won each of its last five October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • New Mexico State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games in October.
  • Each of New Mexico State's last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pick

New Mexico State comes into this matchup playing very well and they are looking for their sixth win in this matchup. Louisiana Tech has struggled in their last five games and they have allowed at least 28 points in four of their last five games. The Bulldogs offense has scored 51 points in their last two games and I think they will be able to move the ball in this matchup. I think we are going to see a higher scoring game here, and I am taking the over. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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