UCF vs Oklahoma Prediction - College Football Picks 10/21/23

Oklahoma Sooners (6-0) vs UCF Knights (3-3)

Game Info: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 12:00 pm (Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium)

Betting Odds: Oklahoma Sooners -19.5 -- Over/Under: 62.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Central Florida Knights will make the trip to Norman to face the Oklahoma Sooners in Big 12 play this weekend from Gaylord Memorial Stadium on ABC. This will mark the first time these two new conference foes face off.

Central Florida Knights Preview

UCF comes in at 3-3 after losing to Kansas in Lawrence, 51-22. The Knights were overpowered by the Jayhawks prior to their bye, and they’ll now have to travel and face a dominant face in Dillon Gabriel. The Central Florida offense is scoring 35.0 ppg, while passing for 270.3 ypg, rushing for 246.3 ypg, and converting 49.3% of their third downs.

UCF Player Notes

Timmy McClain finished the contest versus KU after John Rhys Plumlee was pulled, and he went 12/14 for 136 yards and two touchdown tosses. The sophomore quarterback has been solid in the QB1 role, and he’ll likely get the nod here against Oklahoma. Star signal caller John Rhys Plumlee hasn’t been ruled out, and if he suits up, two of the best quarterbacks in UCF history will be facing off this weekend. 

RJ Harvey and Johnny Richardson split the work again for UCF this year. Harvey came through with a season-high 113 yards in the loss to KU and he now leads the team with 511 rushing yards. Richardson surpassed the 100-yard mark against Baylor, and he’s up to 441 yards on 53 carries. 

• Senior wideout Kobe Hudson had another quiet game last time out, but he still leads the Knights in receptions (22) and receiving yards (473).

• Fellow veteran Javon Baker led the way with 85 versus Kansas, and he’s posting splits of 21/417/2.

• The UCF defense is allowing 27.8 points per game.

 

Oklahoma Sooners Preview

Oklahoma improved to 6-0 after defeating Texas in Dallas by four, 34-30. The Sooners got revenge for last year’s Red River beat down, and they’ll now look to keep rolling into the second half of the season. The OU offense is scoring 45.2ppg, while passing for 341.2ypg, rushing for 164.8 ypg, and converting 51.2% of their third downs.

Oklahoma Player Notes

Dillon Gabriel made up for missing last year’s battle with Texas with a big game, passing for 285 yards, rushing for 113 more, and totaling a pair of touchdowns. The senior quarterback has been great through the first portion of the season, and he’ll look to light his former squad up here. Gabriel has thrown for 1,878 yards with sixteen touchdowns to two interceptions, and he’s rushed for 208 yards and five scores thru six starts. 

• Junior back Tawee Walker scored twice in the win over Texas, and he leads the Sooners in rushing yards (239). 

• Michigan transfer Andrew Anthony leads OU in receiving yards with 429 on 27 catches. 

• Senior wideout Drake Stoops came through with a big game on the final possession of the Red River win, and he leads the team in receptions (29), with 258 yards. 

• Freshman receiver Nic Anderson caught the game-winning touchdown pass against the Longhorns, and he’s posting splits of 11/282/6. 

• The OU defense has allowed 14.0 ppg. 

 

Central Florida vs Oklahoma Trends

UCF is 2-4 against the spread, with a 5-1 O/U record. 

OU is 5-1 ATS, with a 4-2 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

With this being the lone time these two programs will meet as conference foes, this could truly be the Dillon Gabriel game. It’s a very cool full-circle spot for the former Central Florida QB, and after delivering a huge win over Texas, he will likely come through here again at home. This is a three-possession margin, but UCF has looked outmatched in their first two road Big 12 games, and OU represents the best the conference can offer, so let’s trust the Sooners on their home turf Saturday. The Over may be in play as well, if the Knights enter this contest motivated.

Corey’s Pick Oklahoma to Cover

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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