Minnesota vs Iowa Prediction - College Football Picks 10/21/23

Iowa Hawkeyes (6-1) vs Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-3)

Game Info: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 3:30 pm (Kinnick Stadium)

Betting Odds: Iowa Hawkeyes -3.5 -- Over/Under: 31 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Big Ten Network Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Minnesota Golden Gophers and Iowa Hawkeyes face off on Saturday in a college football showdown at Kinnick Stadium. 

Minnesota Has Been Disappointing

Minnesota sits with a 3-3 record overall and there has to be some concern if they can even get enough wins to make a bowl game. In the last game against Michigan, Minnesota only scored 10 points while the defense gave up 52 points. Athan Kaliakmanis was supposed to be the answer at quarterback, but so far he hasn’t been that. He completed only 5 of his 15 passes for 52 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Minnesota is averaging 21.7 points while their defense is giving up 26.7 points per game. The Gophers need to find a way to get the offense going in this game. 

Minnesota Betting Trends

  • Minnesota has won five of its last six matches as an underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Minnesota has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Six of Minnesota's last seven October games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Iowa Continues to Win Their Way

Iowa sits with a 6-1 record overall and they continue to win games their way. In the last game against Wisconsin the defense gave up only six points and even though the offense only scored 15 points, it was still a comfortable victory. Iowa is averaging 20.9 points while their defense is giving up 14.9 points per game. This is a run first offense and in the last game Deacon Hill only threw for 37 yards. In this game, they need to try and find a little more success through the air. 

Iowa Betting Trends

  • Iowa has won each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Iowa has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five matches at Kinnick Stadium when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • Iowa has won the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents at Kinnick Stadium.
  • Ten of Iowa's last 12 October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Shane’s Free Pick

The last game for Iowa only had 21 points scored in it, and I expect this game to be even lower. Hill isn’t the answer under center for Iowa and he’s going to really struggle here. The Iowa defense however is going to be good, and Minnesota is going to struggle to even kick a field goal here. Both offenses are going to really struggle here, and this game is going to stay under the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA, NCAAF, NHL Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Friday 12/1/23 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.