Hawaii vs New Mexico Prediction - College Football Picks 10/21/23
New Mexico Lobos (2-4) vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-5)
Game Info: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 6:00 pm (University Stadium)
Betting Odds: New Mexico Lobos +1.5 -- Over/Under: 60.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will play the New Mexico Lobos in a Mountain West game on Saturday evening at University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Hawaii has lost three of their last four games, while New Mexico has also lost three out of their last four games.
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are 2-5 (0-2) this season after they lost to San Diego State by a score of 41-34 last week. Hawaii trailed 17-14 at the half, but they did take a 24-20 lead into the fourth quarter, before allowing 21 points in the last quarter for the loss. The Rainbow Warriors out gained San Diego State by a total of 480-378, but did turn the ball over four times in the loss. Hawaii’s two wins have come against Albany and New Mexico State this year. The Hawaii offense is scoring 24.1 points per game with 299.9 passing yards per game and 56.4 rushing yards per game, while going 34.4% on third downs. Brayden Schager has thrown for 2,088 yards, 17 touchdowns, and eight interceptions for the Rainbow Warriors this season. Jordan Johnson has rushed for 193 yards, while Steven McBride has caught 35 passes for 626 yards and six scores. The Hawaii defense is allowing 35.6 points against per game this year and has allowed 85 points in their last two games.
New Mexico Preview
The New Mexico Lobos are 2-4 (0-2) this year after they lost to San Jose State by a score of 52-24 in their last game. New Mexico led 3-0 after the first quarter and 17-14 at the half, but allowed 38 points in the second half for the loss. The Lobos were out gained by a total of 531-391 and turned the ball over one time in the game. New Mexico’s two wins have come against Tennessee Tech and UMass this season. The New Mexico offense is averaging 31.8 points per game with 219.2 passing yards per game and 171.8 rushing yards per game, while going 42.5% on third downs. Dylan Hopkins has thrown for 1,165 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions for the Lobos this season. Jacory Croskey-Merritt has rushed for 499 yards and nine scores, while Caleb Medford has caught 11 passes for 228 yards and one touchdown. The New Mexico defense is giving up 34.5 points against per game and has allowed 87 points in their last two contests.
New Mexico Lobos Team Facts
- New Mexico has lost each of its last 14 games against conference opponents.
- New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in each of its last nine home games against conference opponents.
- New Mexico has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Each of New Mexico's last five games against conference opponents at University Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Team Facts
- Hawaii has lost each of its last seven road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine October games as a favorite.
- Hawaii has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.
- Each of Hawaii's last four games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Both of these teams come into this matchup struggling and the defenses have been horrible. Hawaii does have a solid passing attack, but they have no run game. New Mexico is much more balanced and I expect them to run the ball at will here. I think we are going to see a shootout in this game, so I am taking the over. These two teams should move the ball up and down the field rather easily and the clock will stop plenty with Hawaii focused on throwing the ball. Take the over here.