Colorado State vs UNLV Prediction - College Football Picks 10/21/23

UNLV Rebels (5-1) vs Colorado State Rams (3-3)

Game Info: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Allegiant Stadium)

Betting Odds: UNLV Rebels -7.5 -- Over/Under: 62.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Colorado State Rams will play the UNLV Rebels in a Mountain West game on Saturday night at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Colorado State has won three of their last four games, while UNLV has won four games in a row. 

Colorado State Preview

The Colorado State Rams are 3-3 (1-1) this season after they defeated Boise State by a score of 31-30 in their last game. Colorado State trailed 17-0 in the first quarter and 30-10 in the fourth quarter, but they scored 21 points in the last four minutes, including a Hail Mary touchdown pass as time expired for the win. The Rams out gained Boise State by a total of 401-384 and forced three turnovers in the game. Colorado State has won against Boise State, Utah Tech, and Middle Tennessee in three of their last four games, while the one loss came against Utah State. The Colorado State offense is averaging 31 points per game with 353.3 passing yards per game and 70.2 rushing yards per game, while going 41.9% on third downs. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has thrown for 1,944 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions for the Rams this season. Vann Schield has rushed for 146 yards and three touchdowns, while Tory Horton has caught 58 passes for 690 yards and six scores. The Colorado State defense is giving up 35 points against per game this season.

UNLV Preview

The UNLV Rebels are 5-1 (2-0) this year after they defeated Nevada by a score of 45-27 in their last game. UNLV led 28-7 at the half and 38-14 in the fourth quarter for the win. The Rebels out gained Nevada by a total of 518-474 and forced three turnovers in the win. UNLV has also defeated Bryant, Vanderbilt, UTEP, and Hawaii, while losing to Michigan. The UNLV offense is scoring 37.5 points per game with 193.5 passing yards per game and 221.5 rushing yards per game, while 54.2% on third downs. Jayden Maiava has thrown for 960 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions for the Rebels this year. Vincent Davis Jr. has rushed for 327 yards and two touchdowns, while Ricky White has caught 30 passes for 485 yards and two scores. The UNLV defense is allowing 26.8 points against per game this year.

UNLV Rebels Team Facts

  • UNLV has lost each of its last nine October home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UNLV has covered the spread in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UNLV has won the first half in each of its last three home games against conference opponents.
  • Each of UNLV's last four games have gone OVER the total points line.

Colorado State Rams Team Facts

  • The underdog has won three of Colorado State's last four games.
  • Colorado State has covered the spread in each of its last four games against UNLV.
  • Five of Colorado State's last six games have gone OVER the total points line.

Pick

Both of these teams come into this matchup playing well in their last few games, but UNLV will look to get their sixth win of the season here. The Rebels only loss of the year came at Michigan, which is hardly a bad loss, and they are looking to make some noise in the Mountain West this season. Colorado State has won three out of four games, but they were somewhat lucky to catch the Hail Mary in their last game against Boise State. UNLV is playing unreal right now and has scored 40+ points in three straight games. I like the Rebels in this matchup. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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