Missouri vs Kentucky Prediction - College Football Picks 10/14/23

Kentucky Wildcats (5-1) vs Missouri Tigers (5-1)

Game Info: Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 7:30 pm (Kroger Field)

Betting Odds: Kentucky Wildcats -2.5 -- Over/Under: 50.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Missouri Tigers will play the Kentucky Wildcats in a SEC game on Saturday night at Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky. Missouri is coming off of a tough loss against LSU, while Kentucky was dominated on the road against Georgia. 

Missouri Preview

The Missouri Tigers are 5-1 (1-1) this season after they lost to LSU by a score of 49-39 last week. Missouri led 25-17 at halftime and 39-35 in the fourth quarter, but allowed LSU to score the final 14 points in the game. The Tigers were out gained by LSU by a total of 533-527 and turned the ball over two times in the loss. Missouri opened the season with five straight wins over South Dakota, Middle Tennessee, Kansas State, Memphis, and Vanderbilt. The Missouri offense is scoring 33.2 points per game with 322.2 passing yards per game and 143.5 rushing yards per game, while going 38.8% on third down attempts. Brady Cook has thrown for 1,879 yards, 13 touchdowns, and two interceptions for the Tigers this year. Cody Schrader (questionable) has rushed for 577 yards and six scores, while Luther Burden III has caught 54 passes for 793 yards and five touchdowns. The Missouri defense is allowing 25.5 points against per game this year. 

Kentucky Preview

The Kentucky Wildcats are 5-1 (2-1) this season after they lost to Georgia by a score of 51-13 in their last game. Kentucky was overmatched almost immediately in this game and they trailed 34-7 at the half. The Wildcats were out gained by a total of 608-183 and went 2-11 on third downs in the loss. Kentucky had opened the season with five straight wins against Ball State, Eastern Kentucky, Akron, Vanderbilt, and Florida. The Kentucky offense is averaging 33 points per game with 209.5 passing yards per game and 151.2 rushing yards per game, while going 37.9% on third downs this season. Devin Leary has thrown for 1,257 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Wildcats this year. Ray Davis has rushed for 653 yards and eight scores, while Tayvion Robinson has caught 21 passes for 317 yards and three touchdowns. The Kentucky defense is giving up 21.2 points against per game this season.

Kentucky Wildcats Team Facts

  • The underdog has won four of the last five games between Missouri and Kentucky.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in each of Kentucky's last four games.
  • Five of Kentucky's last six home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.

Missouri Tigers Team Facts

  • Missouri has lost each of its last four games against conference opponents at Kroger Field.
  • Missouri has covered the spread in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.
  • Seven of Missouri's last eight road games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.


Both of these teams were tripped up in their last game, but they are still having very good seasons. The Missouri offense has been very good to start the year and they are averaging over 460 yards per game. Kentucky has had a pretty solid rushing attack, led by Ray Davis, and they need to get him going if they want to win this game. I do think the Kentucky rushing attack is going to be the difference in this game and the Wildcats defense will do just enough to get the cover. Take Kentucky here. 

David’s Pick Kentucky -2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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