Bowling Green vs Buffalo Prediction - College Football Picks 10/14/23

Buffalo Bulls (2-4) vs Bowling Green Falcons (2-4)

Game Info: Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 3:30 pm (UB Stadium)

Betting Odds: Buffalo Bulls -4.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Bowling Green Falcons will play the Buffalo Bulls in a MAC game on Saturday afternoon at UB Stadium in Buffalo, New York. Bowling Green has lost three out of their last four games, while Buffalo comes into this game on a two game winning streak.

Bowling Green Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons are 2-4 (0-2) this season after they lost to Miami (OH) by a score of 27-0 last week. Bowling Green couldn’t get anything going in this game, just one week after upsetting Georgia Tech. The Falcons were out gained by a total of 356-135 and went 1-8 on third down attempts in the loss. Bowling Green also has losses to Ohio, Michigan, and Liberty, while beating EIU and Georgia Tech so far this year. The Bowling Green offense is averaging 20.8 points per game with 178.8 passing yards per game and 125.2 rushing yards per game, while going 33.3% on third downs this season. Connor Bazelak has thrown for 826 yards, four touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Falcons this year. Terion Stewart has rushed for 416 yards and four scores, while Odieu Hiliare has caught 21 passes for 226 yards and two touchdowns. The Bowling Green defense is giving up 28.7 points against per game and has allowed 27, 27, 38, and 31 points in their last four games. 

Buffalo Preview

The Buffalo Bulls are 2-4 (2-0) this season after they defeated Central Michigan by a score of 37-13 in their last game. Buffalo led 23-7 at halftime and extended the lead to 37-7 going into the fourth quarter for the easy win. The Bulls were out gained by a total of 360-355, but did force four turnovers in the game. Buffalo defeated Akron by a score of 13-10 in the prior game, but did lose their first four games of the year. The Buffalo offense is averaging 27.8 points per game with 217.3 passing yards per game and 119.8 rushing yards per game, while going 31.5% on third down attempts. Cole Snyder has thrown for 1,307 yards, 11 touchdowns, and four interceptions for the Bulls this year. Ron Cook Jr. has rushed for 283 yards and four touchdowns, while Marlyn Johnson has caught 23 passes for 228 yards and four scores. The Buffalo defense is allowing 33.5 points against per game this season, but has only allowed 23 points in their last two games. 

Buffalo Bulls Team Facts

  • Buffalo has won seven of its last eight October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Buffalo has covered the spread in each of its last five October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Five of Buffalo's last six October games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

Bowling Green Falcons Team Facts

  • Bowling Green has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents.
  • Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Bowling Green has lost the first half in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
  • Four of Bowling Green's last five October road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.


It has been a very strange two weeks for Bowling Green, as they upset Georgia Tech two weeks ago, but looked horrible against Miami (OH) last week. Buffalo started the season with four straight losses and their defense looked awful, but the Bulls have won two games in a row and have only allowed 13 and 10 points in their last two games. I think the outcome against Miami (OH) is a more accurate showing of Bowling Green this season, as I don’t think they are very good. I am going to take Buffalo in this game, as they have looked like a completely different team in conference play. 

David’s Pick Buffalo -4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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