Auburn at LSU Prediction - College Football Picks 10/14/23

LSU Tigers (4-2) vs Auburn Tigers (3-2)

Game Info: Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Tiger Stadium)

Betting Odds: LSU Tigers -13.5 -- Over/Under: 56.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Auburn will head down to Baton Rouge to face LSU in another SEC battle of Tigers this weekend from Death Valley on ESPN. The Tiger Bowl dates back to 1901, and they’ve faced off in every season since 1992, with LSU leading the all-time series 29-24-1, after winning last year’s meeting in Auburn by four, 21-17. 

Auburn Tigers Preview

Auburn enters at 3-2 after losing to Georgia at home by a touchdown, 45-13. The Tigers led throughout the first three quarters, but the Bulldogs would pull away in the fourth, and they’ll now look to avoid a 0-3 start in SEC play. The Auburn offense is scoring 29.6 ppg, while passing for 156.2 ypg, rushing for 202.0 ypg, and converting 34.9% of their third downs.

Auburn Player Notes

Payton Thorne wasn’t able to get much going against a stiff Georgia defense, going 10/19 for 82 yards with a pick thru the air, but he did manage to add 92 yards on the ground. The former Michigan State QB has struggled over his first two starts in SEC play, and he’ll now have to deal with the Death Valley crowd in primetime. Thorne has thrown for 643 yards with four touchdowns to four interceptions, and he’s rushed for 198 yards and a pair of scores thru five games.

• Junior back Jarquez Hunter managed to find the endzone against the Bulldogs last week, and he leads the Tigers with 202 rushing yards.

• Sophomore wideout Jay Fair leads the Tigers in receptions (18) and receiving yards (196).

• The Auburn defense has allowed 18.2 points per game.


LSU Tigers Preview

LSU moved to 4-2 after defeating Missouri in Columbia, 49-39. Brian Kelly’s squad used a big final period to pull away from Mizzou, and they’ll now look to take down a third group of Tigers this Saturday. The LSU offense is scoring 44.8 ppg, while passing for 337.7 ypg, rushing for 210.7 ypg, and converting 55.6% of their third downs.

LSU Player Notes

Jayden Daniels delivered again on the road last weekend against Mizzou, passing for 259 yards, rushing for 130 more, and accounting for four total touchdowns (3 pass, 1 rush). The senior quarterback has put a messy debut versus Florida State behind him, and thrived behind center in Baton Rouge, and he’ll look to add another strong performance to his resume this weekend. Daniels has thrown for 1,969 yards, with 19 touchdowns to two interceptions, and he’s added 422 yards and four scores on the ground through six starts.

Logan Diggs dashed for a season-high 134 yards versus Missouri, and he leads the Tigers in rushing with 488 yards on 81 touches.

Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. give the Tigers a very talented duo on the outside. Nabers surpassed the century mark for the fourth game in a row with 146 in the win over Mizzou, and he leads the team in receptions (46) and receiving yards (771). Thomas Jr. has scored in five of the first six games this season, and he’s posting strong splits of 37/603/9. 

• The LSU defense is allowing 32.3 points per game.


Auburn vs LSU Trends

Auburn is 4-1 against the spread, with a 1-4 O/U record. 

Louisiana State is 3-3 ATS, with a 6-0 over/under record.

• AUB has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games

• LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 14 games

Corey’s Free Pick

Despite playing Georgia extremely well at home last weekend, it’s going to take a lot for Auburn to come into Death Valley and beat a high octane LSU team. Auburn’s defense may manage to get a few stops, but it’s very unlikely they keep up a Jaylen Daniels’-led attack at home. Auburn won’t have Jordan-Hare Stadium on their side this weekend, and they’re facing a much better offense here in Baton Rouge. This contest will give the LSU defense a chance to clean some things up, and this one should come down to a matter of how much due to the ongoing murky quarterback situation at Auburn. Back LSU for this year’s Tiger Bowl.

Corey’s Pick LSU to Cover

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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