North Texas at Navy Prediction - College Football Picks 10/7/23

Navy Midshipmen (1-3) vs North Texas Mean Green (2-2)

Game Info: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 3:30 pm (Jack Stephens Field at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium)

Betting Odds: Navy Midshipmen -3.5 -- Over/Under: 61 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The North Texas Mean Green will fly to Annapolis to meet the Navy Midshipmen in non-conference play this weekend from Navy Memorial Stadium on CBS Sports. Navy and North Texas have only met once, but they’d go on to make history in that lone matchup in 2007 by combining for the most combined points scored in a single game of all-time. Navy would win the contest in Denton by twelve, 74-62.

North Texas Mean Green Preview

North Texas moved to 2-2 after defeating Abilene Christian in Denton, 45-31. The Mean Green jumped out to a big first quarter lead, then held on to defeat their in-state foes, and they’ll now look to win their third straight game this weekend. The UNT offense is scoring 36.3 ppg, while passing for 279.8 ypg, rushing for 186.5 ypg, and converting 40.4% of their third downs.

UNT Player Notes

Chandler Rogers had another strong start last weekend, going 23/36 for 321 yards, and four total touchdowns. The former ULM transfer has settled in well with North Texas after taking over in Week 3, and he’ll look to deliver another winning effort versus Navy. Rogers has passed for 845 yards, with seven touchdowns to one interception. 

• Junior back Ayo Adeyi reached the 120-yard mark for the second game in a row against ACU, and he leads UNT in rushing with 292 yards.

Ja’Mori Maclin, cousin of former Mizzou & Eagles star Jeremy, has scored in all four contests, and he leads the team in receiving with 348 yards on 13 catches.

The UNT defense is allowing 43.0 points per game.

 

Navy Midshipmen Preview

Navy fell to 1-3 after losing to South Florida at home, 44-30. The Midshipmen couldn’t keep up with the Bulls down the stretch, and they’ll look to avoid opening AAC on a 0-3 start. The Navy offense is scoring 20.3 ppg, while passing for 107.3 ypg, rushing for 227.5 ypg, and converting 33.3% of their third downs.

Navy Player Notes

• Veteran quarterback Tai Lavatai went down in last weekend’s game, and Blake Horvath may end up getting the nod again here. The sophomore quarterback tossed a pair of touchdowns, and rushed for 52 yards in the loss to South Florida.

• Sophomore back Alex Tecza leads the team in rushing after a pair of strong performances versus USF and Memphis with 291 yards on 39 touches.

• Junior fullback Dana Fofana is second with 196 rushing yards on 41 carries.

• The Navy defense has allowed 28.5 points per game.

 

North Texas vs Navy Trends

UNT is 1-3 against the spread, with a 4-0 O/U record. 

Navy is 1-3 ATS, with a 2-2 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

If Tai Lavatai misses this game North Texas will have a chance to come in and Navy a third straight loss. Neither team has defended well early on, but the advantage at the quarterback position will give the Mean Green a shot. If UNT gets a lead, this one could look like Midshipmen’s matchup with USF, as they just aren’t able to push the ball through the air well when trailing. Spot North Texas the points for safety in this AAC battle, and give the Over a look as well.

Corey’s Pick North Texas to Cover

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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