LSU vs Missouri Prediction - College Football Picks 10/7/23
Missouri Tigers (5-0) vs LSU Tigers (3-2)
Game Info: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 12:00 pm (Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field)
Betting Odds: Missouri Tigers +4 -- Over/Under: 64.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The LSU Tigers will play the Missouri Tigers in a SEC game on Saturday afternoon at Faurot Field in Columbia, Missouri. LSU is coming off of a thrilling loss to Ole Miss, while Missouri has started the season with five straight wins.
The LSU Tigers are 3-2 (2-1) this season after they lost to Ole Miss by a score of 55-49 last week. LSU had a nine-point lead in the fourth quarter, but allowed Ole Miss to score the final 15 points of the game for the win. The Tigers were out gained by a total of 706-637 and turned the ball over one time in the loss. LSU lost to Florida State to open the season, but had won three games in a row to Grambling State, Mississippi State, and Arkansas. The LSU offense is scoring 44 points per game with 353.4 passing yards per game and 198 rushing yards per game, while going 57.6% on third down attempts this season. Jayden Daniels has thrown for 1,710 yards, 16 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while rushing for 292 yards and three touchdowns for the Tigers this year. Logan Diggs has rushed for 354 yards and three touchdowns, while Malik Nabers has caught 40 passes for 625 yards and five scores. The LSU defense is giving up 31 points against per game this year and has struggled in three of their five games.
The Missouri Tigers are 5-0 (1-0) this season after they defeated Vanderbilt by a score of 38-21 in their last game. Missouri led this game 17-7 at the half and extended the lead to 17 points heading into the fourth quarter, before holding off a late comeback attempt. The Tigers out gained Vanderbilt by a total of 532-300 and went 6-12 on third down conversions in the win. Missouri has also defeated South Dakota, Middle Tennessee, Kansas State, and Memphis. The Missouri offense is averaging 32 points per game with 304.4 passing yards per game and 149 rushing yards per game, while going 39.3% on third downs this year. Brady Cook has thrown for 1,468 yards and 11 touchdowns for the Tigers this season. Cody Schrader has rushed for 463 yards and three touchdowns, while Luther Burden III has caught 43 passes for 644 yards and five scores. The Missouri defense is allowing 20.8 points against per game this year.
Missouri Tigers Team Facts
- Missouri has won each of its last five games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of Missouri's last four games at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
- Missouri has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
- Eight of Missouri's last nine October games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
LSU Tigers Team Facts
- The team ranked 23rd in the AP Poll has won six of its last seven games.
- LSU has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six road games in October.
- Each of LSU's last eight games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Missouri ranked T32nd among FBS teams for H1 points allowed per game last season (10.8).
- Missouri ranked 39th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game last season (9.6).
- LSU ranked 15th among FBS teams for Q3 points allowed per game last season (3.6).
- LSU ranked T18th among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.643).
This should be a pretty good game between two Top-25 teams, but Missouri will have the home field advantage. Missouri has been very solid defensively, but they haven’t played the type of competition that LSU has so far this year. The LSU offense is very good and they are averaging over 550 yards per game, but the defense has had some struggles. I do think LSU has played the much tougher schedule and that will be a huge benefit to them. Take LSU here.