Arkansas at Ole Miss Prediction - College Football Picks 10/7/23
Ole Miss Rebels (4-1) vs Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3)
Game Info: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 7:30 pm (Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field)
Betting Odds: Ole Miss Rebels -11.5 -- Over/Under: 64.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Arkansas Razorbacks will travel to Fayetteville to face the Ole Miss Rebels in SEC play this Saturday from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on the SEC Network. These two bordering states have faced off in each season since 1981, and Arkansas leads the all-time series, 37-29-1.
Arkansas Razorbacks Preview
Arkansas comes in at 2-3 after losing to Texas A&M in Arlington by twelve, 34-22. The Hogs dropped their third consecutive game in the Southwest Classic last weekend, and they’re in real danger of dropping a fourth straight contest here in Oxford. The Arkansas offense is scoring 33.6 ppg, while passing for 215.6 ypg, rushing for 126.6 ypg, and converting 44.1% of their third downs.
Arkansas Player Notes
• KJ Jefferson had a painful outing in Arlington, only going 9/17 for 132 yards with a touchdown, a pick and seven sacks taken. The senior quarterback’s last three weekends have clouded his final season in Fayetteville, and with the hits from SEC play set to continue, he’ll have to rebound quickly if the Hogs would like to attend a bowl game. Jefferson has thrown for 1,050 yards, with ten touchdowns to four interceptions, and he’s rushed for 125 yards and a score.
• Junior back Raheim Sanders returned last weekend and totaled 70 yards in the loss to A&M, and he’ll look to leave more of a mark on this contest.
• Senior wideout Andrew Armstrong scored against the Aggies, and he leads Arkansas in receptions (26), receiving yards (351), and touchdowns (4).
• The Arkansas defense is allowing 25.0 points per game.
Ole Miss Rebels Preview
Ole Miss enters at 4-1 after defeating LSU at home by six, 55-49. The Rebels rallied back with three fourth quarter touchdowns, and they’ll look to creep up a bit more in the rankings with a win over the Razorbacks this weekend. The Ole Miss offense is scoring 44.6 ppg, while passing for 336.6 ypg, rushing for 180.8 ypg, and converting 40.6% of their third downs.
Ole Miss Player Notes
• Jaxson Dart went toe-to-toe with Jaylen Daniels last weekend, passing for 389 yards with four touchdowns passes, and 50 yards and a score on the ground. The former USC quarterback rebounded from the loss to Bama to deliver arguably the best start of his career, and he’ll look to double down here against Arkansas. Dart has totaled 1.485 passing yards, with 11 touchdowns to two interceptions, and 269 yards and four scores on the ground through five starts.
• Sophomore back Quinshon Judkins went off for a season-high 177 yards in the win over LSU, and he leads the backfield with 378 rushing yards and five touchdowns.
• Senior wideout Jordan Watkins reached the 100-yard mark for the third time this season, and he leads the Rebels in receptions (29) and receiving yards (450).
• Slot man Dayton Wade scored for the first time this season against the Tigers, and he’s second on the team with 23 catches and 367 receiving yards.
• Former La. Tech receiver Tre Harris returned to the lineup with an 8-catch, 153-yard outing versus LSU, and he’s third on the squad with splits of 16/341/6.
• The Ole Miss defense has allowed 24.6 points per game.
Arkansas vs Ole Miss Trends
• Arkansas is 2-3 against the spread, with a 4-1 O/U record.
• Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS, with a 3-2 over/under record.
• The Rebels have won each of its last eight October games as a favorite.
• The Razorbacks have gone Over the total points line in seven of the last eight games.
• OLE has covered the spread in four of its last five games at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Corey’s Free Pick
Arkansas enters this contest with their backs against the wall, but after what we’ve seen over the previous three weeks, it’s hard to warrant trusting them. The Razorbacks haven’t been able to stop anyone, and it’s unlikely they will come into Oxford and stop what Lane Kiffin has cooking right now. After fighting hard in Alabama, the Rebels went shot for shot with LSU at home last week, and there’s a good chance they’ll be able to have their way offensively with the hopeless Hogs. There should be enough offense to lay the points here, so let’s test the Over for this SEC battle.