New Mexico at Wyoming Prediction - College Football Picks 9/30/23
Wyoming Cowboys (3-1) vs New Mexico Lobos (2-2)
Game Info: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 4:00 pm (Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium)
Betting Odds: Wyoming Cowboys -14 -- Over/Under: 41.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The New Mexico Lobos will make the trip to Laramie to meet the Wyoming Cowboys in Mountain West play this weekend from War Memorial Stadium on the Mountain West Network. Wyoming and New Mexico have faced off in every season since 1949, and the Cowboys hold a small series margin of 39-36, after winning last year’s meeting in Albuquerque, 27-14.
New Mexico Lobos Preview
New Mexico comes in at 2-2 after defeating UMass on the road in overtime, 34-31. The Lobos held off the Minutemen’s late rally to escape with a three-point victory, and they’ll now look to bring that momentum into conference play.The UNM offense is scoring 24.5 ppg, while passing for 215.3 ypg, rushing for 169.3 ypg, and converting 45.5% of their third downs.
New Mexico Player Notes
• Dylan Hopkins managed last week’s contest well enough to win it, passing for 192 yards, while accounting for a pair of touchdowns (1 pass, 1 rush). The former UAB quarterback was able to defer to the run game last week, but he may have to rev things up against a strong Wyoming team. Hopkins has passed for 827 yards, with six touchdowns to two interceptions thru four games.
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has found the endzone in all four contests, including a two-score outing versus UMass, and he leads UNM in rushing yards (328) with seven touchdowns.
• Senior wideout Andrew Erickson leads the team in catches (10), with 140 receiving yards.
• The UNM defense has allowed 30.0 points per game.
Wyoming Cowboys Preview
Wyoming improved to 3-1 after defeating Appalachian State at home by three, 22-19. The Cowboys used a heroic fourth quarter to erase a twelve-point deficit, and they’ll now look to make some noise in the Mountain West this season, after enjoying a successful non-conference slate. The Wyoming offense is scoring 24.5 ppg, while passing for 129.3 ypg, rushing for 168.3 ypg, and converting 34.7% of their third downs.
Wyoming Player Notes
• Andrew Peasley managed to get the Cowboys past the finish line versus App State after missing the Texas game, despite an underwhelming performance, going 5/15 for 31 yards and a pick. The veteran quarterback did find the endzone on the ground, and the rugged winning effort has defined what Wyoming’s been about this season. Peasley will look to bring this momentum into conference play, and he’s passed for 381 yards, rushed for 96 yards, and totaled seven touchdowns (5 pass, 2 rush) to two interceptions thru three starts.
• NIU transfer Harrison Waylee gashed the Mountaineers tor 156 yards and a score, and he leads the Cowboys with 266 rushing yards in two games..
• Senior wideout Wyatt Wieland leads Wyoming in receptions (15) and receiving yards (163).
• The Wyoming defense is allowing 25.0 points per game.
New Mexico vs Wyoming Trends
• UNM is 2-2 against the spread, with a 3-1 O/U record.
• Wyoming is 2–1-1 ATS, with a 1-3 over/under record.
Corey’s Free Pick
Wyoming has come out of the gate admirably, and they may shock some people in conference play this season, but this feels like a stiff margin for them. The Cowboys are without a doubt the better squad, but their smashmouth style of play will leave the door open to keep things close if New Mexico can make things happen through the air. Wyoming should win this contest, and I like leaning on their physical advantage to control a low-scoring battle this weekend. Take the Under for this Mountain West matchup.