Miami-OH vs Kent State Prediction - College Football Picks 9/30/23

Kent State Golden Flashes (1-3) vs Miami-OH RedHawks (3-1)

Game Info: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 2:30 pm (Dix Stadium)

Betting Odds: Kent State Golden Flashes +14.5 -- Over/Under: 50 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami (OH) RedHawks will play the Kent State Golden Flashes in a MAC game on Saturday afternoon at Dix Stadium in Kent, Ohio. Miami has won three games in a row, while Kent State is still looking for their first win of the season against a FBS team. 

Miami (OH) Preview

The Miami (OH) RedHawks are 3-1 this season after they defeated Delaware State by a score of 62-20 in their last game. Miami led 34-13 at the half and was able to cruise to the easy victory. The RedHawks out gained Delaware State by a total of 646-351 and went 8-10 on third down conversions in the win. Miami lost to the Miami Hurricanes by a score of 38-3 in Week 1, but answered with wins over UMass, Cincinnati, and Delaware State. The Miami offense is scoring 34.3 points per game with 220.8 passing yards per game and 195.5 rushing yards per game, while going 40% on third down attempts this season. Brett Gabbert has thrown for 846 yards, nine touchdowns, and three interceptions for the RedHawks this year. Rashad Amos has rushed for 222 yards and one touchdown, while Gage Larvadain (questionable) has caught 18 passes for 438 yards and four scores. The Miami defense is allowing 27.5 points against per game this year. 

Kent State Preview

The Kent State Golden Flashes are 1-3 this season after they lost to Fresno State by a score of 53-10 last week. Kent State allowed 36 points in the first half and wasn’t able to score any points of their own in the second half. The Golden Flashes were out gained by a total of 513-231 and went 3-12 on third downs in the loss. Kent State started the season with two losses to UCF and Arkansas State, but did get a win against Central Connecticut State. The Kent State offense is averaging 15 points per game with 148.3 passing yards per game and 136 rushing yards per game, while going 36.8% on third downs this year. Michael Alaimo has thrown for 593 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions for the Golden Flashes this season. Gavin Garcia has rushed for 288 yards and two scores, while Trell Harris has caught 13 passes for 233 yards and one touchdown. The Kent State defense is giving up 36.8 points against per game this season.

Kent State Golden Flashes Team Facts

  • Kent State has lost each of its last 17 September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Kent State has covered the spread in each of its last four September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Kent State has won the first half in eight of its last 10 games against conference opponents at Dix Stadium.
  • Eight of the last nine games between Miami (OH) and Kent State have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Team Facts

  • Miami (OH) has lost four of its last six games as a road favorite.
  • Miami (OH) has covered the spread in five of its last six September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Each of Miami (OH)'s last three games have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Kent State ranked 30th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game last season (10.2).
  • Miami (OH) ranked 24th among FBS teams for H1 points allowed per game last season (10.2).
  • Miami (OH) was one of only 27 FBS teams to lose 2+ games when leading after Q3 last season.


Kent State is coming off of a very rough loss to Fresno State and will have to play a Miami (OH) team that is on a three game winning streak. Kent State has been out scored 137-22 in their three games against FBS opponents and I don’t think this game is going to be much better. The RedHawks should be able to move the ball at will in this game and I like them to win by a few scores. 

David’s Pick Miami (OH) -14.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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