LSU at Ole Miss Prediction - College Football Picks 9/30/23
Ole Miss Rebels (3-1) vs LSU Tigers (3-1)
Game Info: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 6:00 pm (Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field)
Betting Odds: Ole Miss Rebels +1.5 -- Over/Under: 63.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The LSU Tigers will make the trip to Oxford to meet the Ole Miss Rebels in this year’s Magnolia Bowl game this weekend from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on ESPN. Louisiana and Mississippi share the same state flower, which led to the name of the contest, and LSU and Ole Miss have faced off in nearly every season since 1901. LSU leads the all-time series, 63-41-4, after winning six of the last seven meetings.
LSU Tigers Preview
LSU improved to 3-1 after defeating Arkansas at home, 34-31. The Tigers avoided having their season spoiled early with a last-second field goal to down the Hogs, and they’ll attempt to jump out to a 3-0 start in SEC play. The LSU offense is scoring 42.8 ppg, while passing for 338.3 ypg, rushing for 191.8!ypg, and converting 58% of their third downs.
LSU Player Notes
• Jayden Daniels added another heroic finish to his resume after leading a late game-winning drive against Arkansas, and he passed for 320 yards, with four touchdowns to a pick. The senior quarterback has opened SEC play with a pair of strong performances, and he’ll look to double down on the state of Mississippi this weekend. Daniels has thrown for 1,296 yards, with twelve touchdowns to two interceptions, and he’s added 193 yards and a pair of scores on the ground through four starts.
• Logan Diggs nearly reached the 100-yard mark for the second time last weekend, and he leads LSU in rushing with 253 yards on 38 touches.
• Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. give the Tigers a very talented duo on the outside. Nabers snapped in StarkVegas a few weeks ago, catching 13 passes for 239 yards against Mississippi State, and he leads the team in receptions (32), receiving yards (523), and touchdowns (5). Thomas Jr. matched his energy by leading the way with 133 yards and two scores against Arkansas, and he’s second on the team with splits of 24/413/5.
• The LSU defense is allowing 25.0 points per game.
Ole Miss Rebels Preview
Ole Miss enters at 3-1 after falling to Alabama in Tuscaloosa by two touchdowns, 24-10. The Rebels took a slim lead into the locker room, but they let the Tide pull away after the break, and they’ll look to bounce back here at home this weekend. The Ole Miss offense is scoring 42.0 ppg, while passing for 323.5 ypg, rushing for 146.8 ypg, and converting 35.4% of their third downs.
Ole Miss Player Notes
• Jaxson Dart did all he could against a fierce Alabama defense, passing for 244 yards, while taking five sacks and tossing a pick. The former USC quarterback was stellar in the win over Georgia Tech, but with SEC play settling in, he’ll face another stiff test here with LSU. Dart has totaled 1.096 passing yards, with seven touchdowns to two interceptions, and 219 rushing yards through four starts.
• Sophomore back Quinshon Judkins failed to reach the endzone for the first time last weekend, but he leads the backfield with 201 rushing yards and four touchdowns.
• Senior wideout Jordan Watkins caught a season-high nine passes versus Bama, and he leads the Rebels in receptions (24) and receiving yards (347).
• Veteran receiver Dayton Wade led the team with 88 yards last weekend, and he’s second on the team with 16 catches and 303 receiving yards.
• The Ole Miss defense has allowed 18.5 points per game.
LSU vs Ole Miss Trends
• LSU is 2-2 against the spread, with a 4-0 O/U record.
• Ole Miss is 3-1 ATS, with a 2-2 over/under record.
• Each of Ole Miss' last six games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams have gone Under the total points line.
• LSU has won six of its last seven games against Ole Miss.
Corey’s Free Pick
With a full SEC slate that features Tennessee’s pending revenge in a meeting with South Carolina, Georgia traveling for the first time to visit a stingy Auburn team, and a Southwest Classic matchup between Texas A&M and Arkansas, this year’s Magnolia Bowl may wind up stealing the show this weekend. Jaylen Daniels is still one of the best quarterbacks in the country despite the messy FSU loss, and after leading last week’s comeback in the second half, I think he comes thru again here against Lane Kiffin’s team. There’s a reason this one has opened so tightly, and if there were more points to give a solid Ole Miss team, I’d sway that way, but this feels like a spot to lean on the star quarterback to guide his team to a victory. This looks like a manageable line for LSU here, so back them for this SEC battle.