Kansas vs Texas Prediction - College Football Picks 9/30/23

Texas Longhorns (4-0) vs Kansas Jayhawks (4-0)

Game Info: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 3:30 pm (Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium/Jamail Field)

Betting Odds: Texas Longhorns -16.5 -- Over/Under: 61 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas Jayhawks will play the Texas Longhorns in a Big 12 game on Saturday afternoon at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas. Kansas has started the season with four straight wins, while Texas is also undefeated coming into this matchup.

Kansas Preview

The Kansas Jayhawks are 4-0 (1-0) this season after they defeated BYU by a score of 38-27 last week. Kansas trailed 17-14 at the half, but they were able to take control in the second half by scoring 21 of the first 24 points. The Jayhawks were out gained by a total of 366-351, but forced three turnovers in the win. Kansas defeated Missouri State, Illinois, and Nevada in the first three games. The Kansas offense is scoring 37.8 points per game with 245.3 passing yards per game and 217.8 rushing yards per game, while going 60.5% on third down attempts. Jalon Daniels has thrown for 705 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception for the Jayhawks this year. Devin Neal has rushed for 394 yards and five scores, while Lawrence Arnold has caught 18 passes for 246 yards. The Kansas defense is allowing 22.8 points against per game, but has allowed 51 points in their last two games. 

Texas Preview

The Texas Longhorns are 4-0 (1-0) this season after they defeated Baylor by a score of 38-6 in their last game. Texas jumped out to a 28-3 lead and did not allow a single point in the second half. The Longhorns out gained Baylor by a total of 503-365, but did turn the ball over twice in the game. Texas defeated Rice, Alabama, and Wyoming in their first three games. The Texas offense is averaging 35 points per game with 277 passing yards per game and 155.8 rushing yards per game, while going 37% on third down attempts this season. Quinn Ewers has thrown for 1,033 yards and nine touchdowns for the Longhorns this year. Jonathon Brooks has rushed for 379 yards and three scores, while Ja’Tavion Sanders has caught 12 passes for 268 yards and one touchdown. The Texas defense is giving up 12.5 points against per game and has been very good to start the season.

Texas Longhorns Team Facts

  • Texas has lost four of its last five games as a favorite against AP-ranked teams.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of Texas' last four games.
  • Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
  • Seven of Texas' last eight games against AP-ranked teams at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Kansas Jayhawks Team Facts

  • The favorite has won each of Kansas' last 12 games.
  • Kansas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six road games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Kansas has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
  • Each of Kansas' last seven September games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas ranked 10th among FBS teams for Q2 points allowed per game last season (4.7).
  • Texas ranked 13th among FBS teams for H1 points per game last season (19.8).
  • Kansas ranked 26th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game last season (10.4).
  • Kansas ranked 27th among FBS teams for H2 points per game last season (16.2).


Both of these teams come into this game undefeated, but Texas comes in as a pretty big favorite. The Longhorns will be at home and they absolutely dominated Baylor last week. Kansas hasn’t allowed a ton of yards, but they have allowed 27, 24, and 23 points in their last three games. I think Texas is going to have a big day offensively, but I do think Kansas will be able to put up some points as well. I like the Jayhawks with the points in this game. 

David’s Pick Kansas -16.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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