Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston State Prediction - College Football Picks 9/28/23

Sam Houston State Bearkats (0-3) vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks (3-1)

Game Info: Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 8:00 pm (Elliot T. Bowers Stadium)

Betting Odds: Sam Houston State Bearkats +6.5 -- Over/Under: 36.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Jacksonville State Gamecocks and Sam Houston State Bearkats face off on Thursday in a college football showdown at Bowers Stadium. 

Sam Houston State Needs to Find Some Offense

Sam Houston State comes into this game with an 0-3 record, and their offense has been awful. Their defense in the first two games gave up only 27 points total to BYU and Air Force, but the offense in that game scored only three points. In the last game against Houston, Sam Houston State scored only seven points, while the defense gave up 38 points on the way to the defeat. Under center for Sam Houston State was Grant Gunnell and he completed 14 of his 22 passes for 100 yards and a touchdown. The rushing game wasn’t good enough and they need a more balanced attack here. 

Sam Houston State Betting Trends

  • Sam Houston State has lost each of its last eight games in September.
  • Sam Houston State has covered the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog.
  • Three of Sam Houston State's last four games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.

Jacksonville State Looks for Third Win

Jacksonville State has gotten out to good start to the season and they come into this game with a 2-1 record. The only loss came against Coastal Carolina and they were defeated 30-16. In the last game against Eastern Michigan, the defense gave up zero points and that led to the 21 point victory. Jacksonville State is a run first team and in the last game they were led by Malik Jackson who finished with 21 carries for 127 yards. Logan Smithers completed 9 of his 19 passes for 93 yards and a touchdown. In this game the Gamecocks defense is going to need to be good. 

Jacksonville State Betting Trends

  • Jacksonville State has lost five of its last six road games in September.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in four of Jacksonville State's last five games.
  • Seven of Jacksonville State's last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Shane’s Free Pick

This is a matchup between a team that struggles to score in Sam Houston State and a defense that has been strong in Jacksonville State. Jacksonville State’s defense is going to lockdown here, and it wouldn’t be shocking if Sam Houston State failed to score any runs. Look for Jacksonville State to run up the score and that will be the difference as Jacksonville State is going to get the job done. Back Jacksonville State against the spread. 

Shane’s Pick Jacksonville State -6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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