Ole Miss vs Alabama Prediction - College Football Picks 9/23/23

Alabama Crimson Tide (2-1) vs Ole Miss Rebels (3-0)

Game Info: Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 3:30 pm (Bryant-Denny Stadium)

Betting Odds: Alabama Crimson Tide -7 -- Over/Under: 55 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Ole Miss Rebels and Alabama Crimson Tide face off on Saturday in a Week 4 college football showdown at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

What Does Alabama Do at Quarterback?

The big question heading into this week and for the rest of the season for Alabama is what exactly do they do at quarterback. Jalen Milroe has been named the starting quarterback for this game, but he has been inconsistent and it wouldn’t be shocking if we saw a couple of different quarterbacks in this game. Alabama sits with a 2-1 record but they have looked bad the last two weeks. Two weeks ago against Texas, they lost and in the last game against South Florida, they only scored 17 points. The defense was good in the last game and that’s the only thing that kept them from being upset. If Alabama loses this game, there is going to be a lot of panic around this team. 

Alabama Betting Trends

  • Alabama has won 31 of its last 32 games against conference opponents at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
  • Alabama has covered the spread in five of its last six home games in September.
  • Alabama has won the first half in 28 of its last 30 games against conference opponents at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
  • Four of Alabama's last five games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

How Good is Ole Miss Football?

Ole Miss comes into this game with a 3-0 record but this is the big test about how good this team actually is. In the last game against Georgia Tech, Ole Miss scored 48 points and that was enough for the easy victory. Quarterback Jaxson Dart completed 10 of his 18 passes for 251 yards and a touchdown. He also rushed 14 times for 136 yards and two touchdowns. Ole Miss is averaging 52.7 points while their defense is giving up 16.7 points per game. The offense will need to be good, but in this game, it’s probably going to come down if the defense can step up enough here. 

Ole Miss Betting Trends

  • The team ranked 15th in the AP Poll has won eight of its last nine games.
  • Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
  • Ole Miss has lost the first half in three of its last four road games against conference opponents.
  • Eight of Ole Miss' last nine games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Alabama vs Ole Miss Facts

  • Alabama ranked 4th among FBS teams for points per game last season (41.1).
  • Alabama ranked T5th among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.769).
  • Ole Miss ranked T16th among FBS teams for Q3 points allowed per game last season (3.7).
  • Ole Miss ranked T16th among FBS teams for H1 win percentage last season (.692).

Shane’s Free Pick

Alabama has a big quarterback problem and it’s going to really hurt them in this game. Ole Miss’s defense has been good so far this year and they are going to step up in this game. Jaxson Dart is playing with a whole lot of confidence heading into this game, and he’s going to have another big game here. I think Ole Miss can win this game outright, but we are going to take the points to be safe. Back Ole Miss to cover the spread here. 

Shane’s Pick Ole Miss +7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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