Miami-OH vs Cincinnati Prediction - College Football Picks 9/16/23

Cincinnati Bearcats (2-0) vs Miami-OH RedHawks (1-1)

Game Info: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Nippert Stadium)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Bearcats -14 -- Over/Under: 46.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Cincinnati Bearcats and Miami (OH) RedHawks do battle Saturday night in a week 3 college football showdown at Nippert Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Preview

The Miami (OH) RedHawks look to get above a .500 record as they play their third straight road game. Miami (OH) has split its last 8 road games. Brett Gabbert is completing 55.8 percent of his passes for 429 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Gage Larvadain and Cade McDonald have combined for 392 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Miles Marshall has 2 receptions. The Miami (OH) RedHawks ground game is averaging 97.5 yards per contest, and Rashad Amos leads the way with 145 yards on 31 carries. Defensively, Miami (OH) is allowing 33 points and 399.5 yards per game. Matt Salopek leads the Miami (OH) RedHawks with 17 tackles, Caiden Woullard has 1.5 sacks and Michael Dowell has 2 interceptions.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Team Facts

  • Miami (OH) has lost 19 of its last 23 road games in September.
  • Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 September games as a road underdog.
  • Seven of Miami (OH)'s last eight September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats look for another win after beating Eastern Kentucky and Pitt in the first 2 weeks. Cincinnati looks for its third 3-0 start in the last 4 seasons. Emory Jones is completing 75.5 percent of his passes for 470 yards, 7 touchdowns and 1 interception. Xzavier Henderson and Braden Smith have combined for 290 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Dee Wiggins has 4 receptions. The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 222.5 yards per contest, and Corey Kiner leads the way with 258 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 17 points and 282 yards per game. Deshawn Pace leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 11 tackles, Eric Phillips has 2 sacks and Justin Harris has 1 interception.

Cincinnati Bearcats Team Facts

  • Cincinnati has won each of its last 29 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Nippert Stadium.
  • Cincinnati has covered the spread in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents at Nippert Stadium.
  • Cincinnati has won the first quarter in four of its last five home games against non-conference opponents.
  • Cincinnati has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at Nippert Stadium.
  • Each of Cincinnati's last six September games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Cincinnati ranked 14th among FBS teams for H2 points allowed per game last season (9.0).
  • Cincinnati ranked 17th among FBS teams for Q4 points allowed per game last season (4.7).
  • Miami (OH) was one of only eight FBS teams to lose 3+ games when leading after Q3 last season.
  • Miami (OH) ranked 13th among FBS teams for Q2 points allowed per game last season (4.8).

Randy’s Pick

The Miami (OH) RedHawks have shown nothing on either side of the ball through 2 games, and this will be their third straight road game. The subpar play and the constant travel has to take its toll on Miami (OH). The Cincinnati Bearcats haven't had the toughest schedule through 2 games, but Emory Jones looks comfortable at QB, and he's getting good production from his running backs. The Cincinnati defense has also been respectable, which includes 8 sacks and 10 pass deflections. The other time Cincinnati was a double-digit favorite this year, the Bearcats won by 53 points. I'll lay the chalk with the home team.

Randy’s Pick Cincinnati Bearcats -14

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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