Hawaii vs Oregon Prediction - College Football Picks 9/16/23

Oregon Ducks (2-0) vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (1-2)

Game Info: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 8:00 pm (Autzen Stadium)

Betting Odds: Oregon Ducks -38 -- Over/Under: 68 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will play the Oregon Ducks in a non-conference game on Saturday night at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon. Hawaii was finally able to pick up their first win of the season last week, while Oregon won a very tough game against Texas Tech. 

Hawaii Preview

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are 1-2 this season after they defeated Albany by a score of 31-20 in Week 2. Hawaii went into halftime tied at 17, but was able to out score Albany by a total of 14-3 in the second half. The Rainbow Warriors out gained Albany by a total of 379-239, but they did turn the ball over three times in the win. Hawaii lost to Vanderbilt by a score of 35-28 in Week 0 and Stanford by a score of 37-24 in Week 1. The Hawaii offense is averaging 28.3 points per game with 324 passing yards per game and 49.3 rushing yards per game, while going 40.9% on third down attempts this season. Brayden Schager has thrown for 972 yards, 10 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Rainbow Warriors this year. Jordan Johnson has rushed for 76 yards, while Pofele Ashlock has caught 19 passes for 315 yards and three scores. The Hawaii defense is giving up 30.7 points against per game this year. 

Oregon Preview

The Oregon Ducks are 2-0 this season after they defeated Texas Tech by a score of 38-30 in their last game. Oregon trailed by a score of 27-18 going into the fourth quarter, but they scored 10 points in just about four minutes to take the lead 28-27. After Texas Tech kicked a field goal to take the lead, Oregon scored 10 points in the final 1:10 for the win. Oregon out gained Texas Tech by a total of 472-456 and forced four turnovers in the win. The Ducks defeated Portland State by a score of 81-7 in their first game. The Oregon offense is averaging 59.5 points per game with 370 passing yards per game and 230.5 rushing yards per game, while going 52% on third down attempts this year. Bo Nix has thrown for 646 yards and five touchdowns for the Ducks this year. Bucky Irving has rushed for 157 yards and three scores, while Troy Franklin has caught 13 passes for 209 yards and three touchdowns. The Oregon defense is allowing 18.5 points against per game this season. 

Oregon Ducks Team Facts

  • Oregon has won each of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Oregon has covered the spread in eight of its last nine home games.
  • Oregon has won the first half in each of its last seven home games against non-conference opponents.
  • Oregon has won the first quarter in 15 of its last 16 games against non-conference opponents at Autzen Stadium.
  • Each of Oregon's last six games against non-AP-ranked teams at Autzen Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Team Facts

  • Hawaii has lost 10 of its last 11 road games.
  • Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games against opponents from the Pac-12 Conference.
  • Hawaii has lost the first half in each of its last five games against opponents from the Pac-12 Conference.
  • Seven of Hawaii's last nine games against opponents from the Pac-12 Conference have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Oregon ranked T5th among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.769).
  • Oregon ranked 6th among FBS teams for H1 points per game last season (20.9).
  • Hawaii suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team last season (2).

Pick

Oregon comes into this game as a huge favorite against a Hawaii team that has had plenty of struggles to start the season. The Hawaii defense did not look very good against Vanderbilt and Stanford to start the season and they are facing an Oregon team that scored 81 points in their season opener. Oregon played a very tough game on the road against Texas Tech last week and they were fortunate to force four turnovers for the win. I think Oregon will win this game easily, but I also think they will take their foot off of the gas pedal after last week’s tough game. Take Hawaii to keep it somewhat close. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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