San Jose State vs USC Prediction - College Football Picks 8/26/23

USC Trojans (0-0) vs San Jose State Spartans (0-0)

Game Info: Saturday, August 26, 2023 at 8:00 pm (United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)

Betting Odds: USC Trojans -30.5 -- Over/Under: 66 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Jose State Spartans will play the USC Trojans in a non-conference game in Week 0 on Saturday night at Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, California. Both of these teams had winning seasons last year, but USC has their sights on a College Football Playoff Berth this year. 

San Jose State Preview

The San Jose State Spartans went 7-5 last season and they went 5-3 in the Mountain West. The Spartans got wins against Portland, Western Michigan, Wyoming, UNLV, Nevada, Colorado State, and Hawaii. San Jose State did go to the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, where they lost 41-27 to Eastern Michigan. The San Jose State defense ran into some issues towards the end of last season, allowing 35 points or more in three of their last four games. San Jose State is starting Chevan Cordeiro at quarterback, who threw for 3,250 yards, 23 touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Spartans last year. Cordeiro also added 265 rushing yards and nine scores. Kairee Robinson returns for the Spartans at running back after rushing for 752 yards and 10 touchdowns last year. 

San Jose State Spartans Team Facts

  • San Jose State has lost each of its last eight games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in six of San Jose State's last seven games.
  • San Jose State has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against opponents from the Pac-12 Conference.
  • Each of San Jose State's last eight road openers as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

USC Preview

The USC Trojans went 11-3 last year and they went 8-2 in Pac-12 play. USC did go to the PAC-12 Title game, where they lost 47-24 to Utah. The Trojans tried to bounce back in their bowl game against Tulane, but the Green Wave pulled off a stunning 46-45 win. USC had one of the best offensive attacks last season, scoring 30 points or more in 12 of their last 14 games. Caleb Williams was a big reason why the USC offense was so good, as he threw for 4,537 yards, 42 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while also running for 382 yards and 10 scores. USC did lose quite a bit of talent from last year, but they brought in more than a few transfers to help fill the voids. On the other side of the ball, USC needs to get better defensively. The Trojans allowed 27 points or more in eight games last year. USC’s offense will carry them for most of the season, but their defense is going to need step up at some point, which they weren’t able to do against Utah last year. 

USC Trojans Team Facts

  • USC has won each of its last nine home openers.
  • USC has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents at United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
  • USC has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
  • USC has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
  • Each of USC's last seven games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • USC ranked 5th among FBS teams for H1 points per game last season (21.5).
  • USC ranked T5th among FBS teams for H1 win percentage last season (.786).
  • San Jose State was one of only 11 FBS teams to remain undefeated in home games last season (6-0) (min. 8 games).
  • San Jose State ranked 17th among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.667).

 

Pick

USC is one of the most talented offenses in the country, but this spread is massive for a team that struggled to get stops last year. San Jose State is not a bad team by any stretch of the imagination and they have a very experienced quarterback. USC did beat Rice by a score of 66-14 to start last year, but only beat one other team by 30 points all year. I think this game could go either way regarding the spread, but I like the over here. USC’s offense should have no issue scoring, but I don’t think asking San Jose State to score 24+ points is too much to ask. Take the over here. 

 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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