Hawaii vs Vanderbilt Prediction - College Football Picks 8/26/23

Vanderbilt Commodores (0-0) vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (0-0)

Game Info: Saturday, August 26, 2023 at 7:30 pm (FirstBank Stadium)

Betting Odds: Vanderbilt Commodores -17.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will play the Vanderbilt Commodores in Week 0 on Saturday night at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Both of these teams finished below .500 last season, but Hawaii had some really ugly losses in a much easier conference than Vanderbilt had to deal with. Vanderbilt defeated Hawaii by a score of 63-10 in Week 0 of the 2022 season. 

Matchup/League Facts

  • Vanderbilt suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team last season (3).
  • Vanderbilt suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team last season (2).
  • Hawaii suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team last season (2).

Hawaii Preview

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors went 3-10 last season with their only wins coming against Duquesne, Nevada, and UNLV. The Rainbow Warriors went 0-6 on the road and were out scored by a total of 216-90 in those four road games. Hawaii’s 2022 season was very disappointing and they had one of the worst defenses in the entire country. Hawaii loves to throw the ball, but will need to much more productive if they want to find success this year. The Rainbow Warriors are starting Brayden Schager at quarterback, who threw for 2,348 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions last season. Tylan Hines is expected to have a big year at the running back spot, but he is on the smaller side. Hines rushed for 634 yards and 11 scores last year. The offense has some pieces that they can build around, but it won’t matter if that defense isn’t much improved. 

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Team Facts

  • Hawaii has lost nine of its last 10 road games.
  • Hawaii has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
  • Hawaii has lost the first half in four of its last five road games against non-conference opponents.
  • Five of Hawaii's last six August games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line

Vanderbilt Preview

The Vanderbilt Commodores were 5-7 last year and they went 2-6 in SEC play. Vanderbilt started the season with a bang, winning 63-10 against this same Hawaii team in Honolulu. The Commodores added wins against Elon, Northern Illinois, Kentucky, and Florida, but just missed out a .500 season. Vanderbilt also had a very bad defense last season, but they also played a lot tougher competition. The Commodores allowed 45, 55, 52, 55, and 56 points to Wake  Forest, Alabama, Ole Miss, Georgia, and Tennessee. Vanderbilt will be starting AJ Swann at quarterback, who threw for 1,274 yards, 10 touchdowns, and two interceptions last season. The Commodores did lose their leading rusher from last year and hardly have any returning production from the running back spot. Similarly to Hawaii, this Vanderbilt team should be ok on the offensive side of the ball, but how is the defense going to hold up?

Vanderbilt Commodores Team Facts

  • Vanderbilt has lost 15 of its last 18 home games.
  • Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at FirstBank Stadium.
  • Eight of Vanderbilt's last nine season openers have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pick

We saw Vanderbilt travel all the way to the islands last year just to blow the doors off of Hawaii and now they will get to play them at home. Vanderbilt’s defensive numbers looked horrible last year, but that was because of the competition that they played. I don’t think their defense was nearly as bad as the numbers suggested and I think they are going to fly around and make plays against the pass happy Rainbow Warriors. I don’t think the game is going to be as bad as it was last year, but I do think Vanderbilt pulls away in the second half. 

David’s Pick Vanderbilt -17.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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