Alabama at Kansas State - 12/31/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Alabama Crimson Tide and Kansas State Wildcats face off on Saturday in the college football Sugar Bowl at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. This is the first meeting played between the two teams this season. 

Alabama comes into this game with a 10-2 record overall, and they have gone 6-6 against the spread. In the last game against Auburn, Alabama scored 49 points and that led to the 22-point victory. Bryce Young completed 20 of his 30 passes for 343 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Jahmyr Gibbs rushed 17 times for 76 yards and a touchdown. Alabama is averaging 40.8 points, while their defense is giving up 18 points per game. The offense is 4th best in college football. Traeshon Holden, Christian Leary, JoJo Earle, Trey Sanders, Khyree Jackson, Amari Knight, Tommy Brockermeyer, Damieon George, Javion Cohen, Braylen Ingraham, have all opted out of this game. 

On the other side of this matchup is Kansas State, who sits with a 10-3 record overall, and they have gone 9-3-1 against the spread so far this season. The Wildcat's last game came in the Big 12 Championship Game, and they were able to secure a 31-28 victory in overtime. Will Howard had a solid game, completing 18 of his 32 passes for 199 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Deuce Vaughn rushed 26 times for 130 yards and a touchdown. Kansas State is averaging 33.2 points, while their defense is giving up 20.1 points per game. Kansas State doesn’t appear to have any opts out for this game. 

Alabama is 5-1 against the spread in their last six bowl games. Kansas State is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games on a neutral site. The under is 4-0-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last five bowl games. 

Just the opts out show a perfect example of who might be motivated for this team. Alabama has many opts out, while Kansas State has zero. Deuce Vaughn is going to have a big game against the Alabama defense, and Kansas State is going to find a ton of success with their offense in this game. Back Kansas State against the spread. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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