Texas Tech at Ole Miss - 12/28/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Ole Miss Rebels face off on Wednesday in a college football showdown in the Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2018 it was Ole Miss that secured the 47-27 victory. 

Texas Tech comes into this game with a 7-5 record, and they have gone 7-5 against the spread. In the last game against Oklahoma, Texas Tech scored 51 points and that was enough to win by three points. Tyler Shough completed 31 of his 50 passes for 436 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Running back SaRodrick Thompson finished with 21 carries for 86 yards and two touchdowns. The Red Raiders are averaging 33.6 points, while their defense is giving up 29.5 points per game. On the season, Shough has thrown for 1.062 yards, six touchdowns, and three interceptions. 

On the other side of this matchup is Ole Miss, who sits with an 8-4 record, and they have gone 4-7-1 against the spread. Ole Miss really struggled to finish the season, losing three games in a row. In the last game against Mississippi State, the offense only scored 22 and that led to the two point defeat. Jaxson Dart completed 30 of his 38 passes for 250 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Ole Miss is averaging 34.2 points, while their defense is giving up 24.2 points per game. Ole Miss wants to play an up-tempo offense, and I would expect they are going to push the pace in this game. 

The Red Raiders are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The under is 5-0 in the Rebel's last five bowl games. Ole Miss is 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five games as a favorite. 

I'm not sold on this Ole Miss team, and they have really struggled heading into this game. Texas Tech is averaging 33.6 points per game, and they will find success scoring against an Ole Miss defense that isn’t very good. The scoring by Texas Tech will be enough for the Red Raiders to cover the spread. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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