New Mexico State at Bowling Green - 12/26/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The New Mexico State Aggies will play the Bowling Green Falcons on Monday afternoon in the college football Quick Lane Bowl at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan.

The New Mexico State Aggies are 6-6 this season after they defeated Valparaiso by a score of 65-3 in their last game. New Mexico State out gained their opponent by a total of 389-160 and held Valpo to 3-19 on third down attempts in the game. The New Mexico State offense is averaging 25.8 points per game with 169.3 passing yards per game and 155.5 rushing yards per game. Diego Pavia (questionable) has thrown for 1,283 yards, 11 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while also rushing for 443 yards and six touchdowns for the Aggies this season. Star Thomas has rushed for 477 yards and five scores, while Justice Powers has caught 19 passes for 398 yards and one touchdown for New Mexico State. The New Mexico State defense is giving up 24.3 points per game and 339.5 yards per game.

The Bowling Green Falcons are 6-6 this season after they lost to Ohio by a score of 38-14 in their last game. Bowling Green only gained 279 total yards and turned the ball over four times in the loss. The Bowling Green offense is averaging 23.5 points per game with 236.8 passing yards per game and 100.8 rushing yards per game. Matt McDonald has thrown for 2,639 yards, 22 touchdowns, and eight interceptions for the Falcons this season. Jaison Patterson has rushed for 560 yards and one touchdown, while Odieu Hiliare has caught 54 passes for 704 yards and six scores for Bowling Green. The Bowling Green defense is allowing 33.3 points per game and 420.7 yards per game.

New Mexico State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 20 points. The over is 4-0 in New Mexico State’s last 4 games. Bowling Green is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. The over is 5-0 in Bowling Green’s last 5 bowl games.

New Mexico State was able to sneak into a bowl game after defeating two FCS teams this season, but they have won four of their last five games. Bowling Green has lost two of their last three games and their defense has really struggled this season. The Falcons defense is allowing over 33 points per game and will be facing a New Mexico State team that has scored at least 49 points in three of their last four games. I like the over in this game.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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