UCF at USF - 11/26/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Central Florida Knights and South Florida Bulls face off on Saturday in an AAC college football showdown at Raymond James Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2021 it was Central Florida that secured the 17-13 victory. 

Central Florida comes into this game with an 8-3 record and they have gone 7-4 against the spread. Central Florida looked to be in the drivers seat for a New Years Six bowl, but now they have some work to do after losing their last game. The offense could only put up 14 points against Navy, and that led to the three-point loss. Central Florida is averaging 33.9 points while their defense is giving up 19.7 points per game. Quarterback John Rhys Plumlee is having a big season throwing for 2,122 yards, 12 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. He has also rushed for 715 yards and nine touchdowns. 

On the other side of this matchup is South Florida who sits with a 1-10 record and they have gone 4-7 against the spread. In the last game against Tulsa, they were competitive, scoring 42 points, but the defense gave up 48 points. Byrum Brown has completed 21 of his 25 passes for 240 yards, three touchdowns, and zero interceptions. South Florida is averaging 27 points while their defense is giving up 40.7 points per game. The offense is averaging 388.4 yards per game. At times though, they have struggled to finish drives. 

UCF is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven meetings against South Florida. UCF is 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games. South Florida is 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games. South Florida is 8-22 against the spread in their last 30 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

The offense for Central Florida in the last game struggled, and I have concerns about them heading into this game. South Florida in the last game scored 42 points, and they only lost by four points last year. Central Florida isn’t going to score enough to pull away in this game. Back South Florida against the spread. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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