Troy at Arkansas State - 11/26/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-8) vs Troy Trojans (9-2)

Game Info: Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 3:30 pm (Centennial Bank Stadium)

Betting Odds: Arkansas State Red Wolves +13.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Troy Trojans and Arkansas State Red Wolves face off on Saturday in a college football showdown at Centennial Bank Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2020 it was Troy that secured the 38-10 victory. 

Troy comes into this game with a 9-2 record and they have gone 8-3 against the spread. In the last game against Louisiana-Monroe the offense had another strong game scoring 34 points, and that led to the victory. Two games ago against Army the defense locked down and they ended up winning 10-9. Troy is averaging 22.5 points while their defense is giving up 16.6 points per game. The offense has been fine, but most impressive has been the defense that is ranked 9th best in all of college football. Quarterback Gunnar Watson has thrown for 2,243 yards, nine touchdowns, and nine interceptions.

On the other side of this matchup is Arkansas State who sits with a 3-8 record and they have gone 4-7 against the spread. In the last game against Texas State only gave up 16 points in the last game, but the offense only managed 13 points. Quarterback James Blackmon completed 22 of his 40 passes for 237 yards, one touchdown, and zero interceptions. Arkansas State is averaging 25.6 points while their defense is giving up 29.9 points per game. On the season Blackmon has thrown for 2,251 yards, 14 touchdowns, and two interceptions. 

Troy is 5-0 against the spread in their last five games. The over is 4-0 in the Trojans last four games on fieldturf. The Red Wolves are 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The under is 4-0 in the Trojans last four games following an against the spread win. 

Troy is having such a strong season it’s been because of the defense. Blackmon at times has been inconsistent and he’s going to really struggle against a very good defense. Look for Troy to run up the score, and Akransas State is going to have no chance to keep up with the offense. Back Troy against the spread.

Shane’s Pick Troy -13.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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