Baylor at Texas - 11/25/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

Texas Longhorns (7-4) vs Baylor Bears (6-5)

Game Info: Friday, November 25, 2022 at 12:00 pm (Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium/Jamail Field)

Betting Odds: Texas Longhorns -9 -- Over/Under: 56.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Baylor Bears will head down to Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns from DKR Memorial Stadium on ESPN. Texas and Baylor have competed in a long-standing rivalry, crossing paths in every season since 1924. The Longhorns lead the all-time series 79-28, but the Bears did manage to win last season's meeting in Waco.

Baylor dropped to 6-5 after a heartbreaking loss to arch rival TCU in Oklahoma in Week 12.. The Bears nearly spoiled the Horned Frogs season before a no-huddle, last second field goal would push the visitors past the finish line. Baylor scores 38.3 points per game, while passing for 241.6 yards per game (113th), and rushing for 210.9 ypg (36th). The Baylor defense allows 24.5 points per game.

Blake Shapen’s first full season as a starter has had its ups and downs.  The sophomore quarterback made Baylor competitive this season, but three of their five losses have come by six points or less. Shapen will look to build towards next season here in the regular season finale, and he’s passed for 2.423 yards with 14 touchdowns to nine interceptions through 11 starts here in 2022.

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Richard Reese will look to eclipse the 1,000-yard mark with a solid effort here. The true freshman took the reins in Week 3 and never looked back. Reese combined for 334 yards and scored five times in Weeks 8 and 9, and he’s up to 908 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns for the season. Monoray Baldwin had a big day versus TCU, and he’ll look to finish as Baylor’s leader in receptions (30) and receiving yards (530).

Texas is 7-3 after defeating Kansas in Lawrence in Week 12. The Longhorns got back to their old ways of dominating the Jayhawks, and after having each of their last four games decided by a touchdown or less, they walked away with a decisive 41-point win.  Texas is scoring 35.4 points per game, while passing for 234.1 yards per game (118th), and rushing for 198.9 yards per game (51st). The Longhorn defense allows 20.6 points per game.

With Arch Manning’s arrival growing closer by the day, this start will mean a lot for Quinn Ewers. The freshman QB could find himself in the same position as Hudson Card if he elects to remain in Austin. If he doesn’t, these final two starts will go a long way in his transfer portal status. Ewers has thrown for 1,614 passing yards with 14 touchdowns to six interceptions through eight starts in 2022.

Bijan Robinson heads into the end of his Longhorn career on a high note. The junior back will almost certainly be taken in the first round, after a season-low performance versus TCU, he gashed the Jayhawks for 243 rushing yards and four scores. Robinson has surpassed the 120-yard mark in all but two outings, and he leads the Big 12 with 1,401 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns. It’s been a balanced effort outside, with three Horns catching 45 passes or more this season. Xavier Worthy leads the way in receptions (47), receiving yards (614), and touchdown catches (9).

Coming into November, it for sure looked like one of these two Lone Star schools would spoil TCU’s season, but both were dealt with late season losses. The Bears may have got it worse after falling to the Horned Frogs on a literal last second field goal, but there won’t be any pity in Austin from the Longhorns here.

Texas looked great against Kansas last time out, and after going on such an emotional ride at home last weekend, Baylor may be walking into a tough situation. Tack in the Longhorns loss in Waco last season, and all signs point to the host here. Take Texas’ spread for this Big 12 clash.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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