TCU at Baylor - 11/19/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The TCU Horned Frogs will play the Baylor Bears in a Big 12 Game on Saturday afternoon at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas.

The TCU Horned Frogs are 10-0 (7-0) this season after they defeated Texas by a score of 17-10 in their last game. TCU held Texas to 199 total yards and held them to 1-13 on third down attempts in the win. The TCU offense is averaging 40.5 points per game with 272.5 passing yards per game and 213.6 rushing yards per game. Max Duggan has thrown for 2,531 yards, 25 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while also rushing for 241 yards and four touchdowns for the Horned Frogs this season. Kendre Miller has rushed for 1,147 yards and 13 scores, while Quentin Johnston has caught 45 passes for 716 yards and five touchdowns for TCU. The TCU defense is giving up 25.2 points per game and 377.1 yards per game.

The Baylor Bears are 6-4 (4-3) this season after they lost to Kansas State by a score of 31-3 in their last game. Baylor only gained 306 total yards and turned the ball over twice in the loss. The Baylor offense is averaging 34.8 points per game with 237.3 passing yards per game and 199.6 rushing yards per game. Blake Shapen has thrown for 2,154 yards, 13 touchdowns, and eight interceptions for the Bears this season. Richard Reese has rushed for 852 yards and 13 scores, while Gavin Holmes has caught 22 passes for 470 yards and three touchdowns for Baylor. The Baylor defense is allowing 25.2 points per game and 360 yards per game.

TCU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. The over is 4-1 in TCU’s last 5 games on grass. Baylor is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games on grass. The over is 6-1 in Baylor’s last 7 games. The over is 5-1 in these two teams last 6 head to head meetings.

Baylor is coming off of a very disappointing loss in their last game where they weren’t even competitive, while TCU continues to beat every team that they play. TCU’s offense is one of the best in the country, but will face a Baylor team that has scored at least 35 points in four of their last five games. I think this game is going to be a shootout and I like the over.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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