South Alabama at Southern Miss - 11/19/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The South Alabama Jaguars and Southern Miss Golden Eagles face off on Saturday in a college football showdown at Roberts Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2021 it was South Alabama that secured the 31-7 victory. 

South Alabama comes into this game with an 8-2 record and they have gone 7-3 against the spread. In the last game against Texas State, South Alabama scored 38 points and that was enough to secure the victory. South Alabama has won three games in a row. Three games ago against Arkansas State, South Alabama secured the 31-3 victory. South Alabama is averaging 32.9 points while their defense is giving up 19.3 points per game. The defense is ranked 18th in college football. 

On the other side of this matchup is Southern Miss who sit with a 5-5 record and they have gone 7-3 against the spread. In the last game against Coastal Carolina, Southern Miss was competitive, but they were defeated by three points. Quarterback Trey Lowe III completed 19 of his 36 passes for 295 yards and a touchdown. Two games ago against Georgia State, Southern Miss was defeated 42-14. Southern Miss is averaging 25.1 points while their defense is giving up 24.5 points per game. Southern Miss has to be the team that jumps out to a lead in this game. 

South Alabama is 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games overall. South Alabama is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games against a team with a winning record. The under is 11-2 in the Jaguars last 13 games on turf. The over is 6-1 in South Alabama’s last seven home games. The under is 9-4 in Golden Eagles last 13 conference games.

South Alabama is going to have no issue getting the job done here. Southern Miss’s offense is averaging only 25.1 points per game and they are going to really struggle to score again in this game. Southern Miss might keep it close for a while, but South Alabama to cover the spread here. I also think the lack of scoring by Southern Miss will keep this game under the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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