New Mexico State at Missouri - 11/19/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

Missouri Tigers (4-6) vs New Mexico State Aggies (4-5)

Game Info: Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 7:30 pm (Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field)

Betting Odds: Missouri Tigers -29.5 -- Over/Under: 46.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New Mexico State Aggies and Missouri Tigers face off on Saturday in a non-conference college football showdown at Faurot Field. This is the first meeting between the two teams in recent years. 

New Mexico State comes into this game with a 4-5 record and they have gone 4-5 against the spread. In the last game against Lamar the offense was elite scoring 51 points, and it was a blowout victory. Quarterback Diego Pavia has improved as the season has gone on, and in the last game he completed 13 of his 18 passes for 146 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. The offense for New Mexico State hasn’t been good enough and they are averaging 19.9 points per game. The defense is giving up 25.6 points per game, and the defense will need to keep them in this game. 

On the other side of this matchup is Missouri who sits with a 4-6 record and they have gone 5-5 against the spread. Missouri has played decent at times this season and been competitive when many didn’t think they would be, but they still only have four win. In the last game against Tennessee, Missouri gave up 66 points, and that led to the 42-point defeat. The last win for Missouri came three games ago against South Carolina, and in that game, the defense only gave up 10 points. Missouri is averaging 23.2 points while their defense is giving up 25.9 points per game. Quarterback Brady Cook has thrown for 2,012 yards, eight touchdowns, and seven interceptions. 

New Mexico State is 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games against a team with a losing record. Missouri is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games on fieldturf. The over is 8-2 in New Mexico State’s last eight games in November. The under is 4-0 in Missouri’s last four home games. 

This total is too high. New Mexico State is averaging 19.9 points per game and they are going to really struggle to score against Missouri. The Tigers are also averaging 23.2 points per game and although I think they go over that number, this isn’t a game where they are going to score more than 30 points,. Back the under to cash. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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