Illinois at Michigan - 11/19/22 College Football Picks and Prediction
Michigan Wolverines (10-0) vs Illinois Fighting Illini (7-3)
Game Info: Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 12:00 pm (Michigan Stadium)
Betting Odds: Michigan Wolverines -17 -- Over/Under: 44 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Illinois Fighting Illini will head up to the Big House for a Big Ten clash with the Michigan Wolverines this weekend on ABC. Michigan and Illinois have an extensive football series that dates back to 1898, with the Wolverines holding a lopsided head-to-head lead of 71-23-3.
Illinois dropped to 7-3 after losing to Purdue at home in Week 11. The Fighting Illini failed to recover in the fourth quarter, and they’ve now dropped two in a row after one of the strongest starts in school history. Illinois scores 24.7 points per game, while passing for 218.6 yards per game (162nd), and rushing for 183.5 ypg (75th). The Fighting Illini defense allows 12.5 points per game, which is good for fourth in the whole nation.
Tommy DeVito changed oranges and found success in Champaign. The former Syracuse quarterback has a tough task this weekend in Ann Arbor, as he surely won’t be able to lean on the run game as heavily here due to them potentially chasing points. DeVito has thrown for 2,083 passing yards with 15 touchdowns to three interceptions through ten starts.
Chase Brown has been one of the best running backs in the country, and he’s carried this offense throughout the season. Brown has flawlessly eclipsed the 150-yard mark in seven of ten games this year, and his matchup versus fellow Big Ten leader Blake Corum will be something to watch here. Brown leads the FBS with 1,442 rushing yards and he’s scored ten touchdowns (7 rush, 3 rec). When Illinois passes the football, they’ve looked Isaiah Williams’ way often. The sophomore from St. Louis surpassed his 2021 total last weekend with a strong 98-yard, two-score performance, and he leads Illinois in receptions (64) and receiving yards (553).
Michigan is 10-0 after a big win over Nebraska in Week 10. The Wolverines blew by the Cornhuskers at the Big House in a physical contest, out-gaining them 412-146 along the way. Michigan is scoring 41.4 points per game, while passing for 208.9 yards per game (183rd), and rushing for 251.4 ypg. The Big Blue defense is allowing 11.2 points per game, which is good for second in the entire country.
An injury to Cade McNamara thrusted J.J. McCarthy into the starting lineup, and he’s got Big Blue in position to breach the CFB Playoff with an Ohio State matchup for all of the marbles next weekend. McCarthy has passed for 1,744 yards with 14 touchdowns to two interceptions on the season.
Blake Corum is a workhorse and truly one of the premier players in the nation. The junior back has really picked things up since the start of Big Ten play, surpassing the 100-yard mark in each of the past six games. Corum is right behind Chase Brown for the nation-lead with 1,349 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns. Senior wideout Ronnie Bell has been McCarthy’s number one option, and he leads the Wolverines in receptions (45) and receiving yards (597).
Illinois is 6-4 against the spread this season, with a 2-1 record on the road. Michigan is 7-3 against the spread this season, with a 5-2 record at home. Michigan is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 conference games. The Under is 12-4 in Michigan's last 16 home games.
This clash is what the Big Ten is all about. Rushing. Defense. Physicality.
Yikes, life has hit the Fighting Illini pretty fast. After walking into the final month of the season 7-1 and a trip to the Big Ten championship game in sight, those title hopes are now in real jeopardy. It’s highly unlikely Illinois’ spoils one of the biggest matchups of the college football season next weekend.
Michigan can’t have their mind on Ohio State here, as Illinois will come into this one looking to play to their mutual strengths. The Wolverines should feed off of the Big House crowd, and send their seniors off with a bang. Take Michigan’s margin here at home.