Arkansas State at Texas State - 11/19/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

Texas State Bobcats (3-7) vs Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-7)

Game Info: Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 5:00 pm (Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium)

Betting Odds: Texas State Bobcats -4 -- Over/Under: 52.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves will head to San Marcos and take on the Texas State Bobcats from Jim Wacker Field on ESPN3.

Arkansas State improved to 3-7 after defeating UMass at home in Week 10. The Red Wolves held off a fierce second half rally from the Minutemen, but held on to snap a four-game losing streak. Arkansas State scores 26.8 points per game, while passing for 226.1 yards per game (143rd), and rushing for 96.6 ypg (260th). The Ark State defense allows 31.3 points per game.

James Blackmon brings a ton of experience to the position. The sixth-year senior had a pair of 2,000-yard seasons with Florida State, and he add a third last weekend in the win over UMass The veteran quarterback has been a victim of poor pass protection often this season, but he’s posted a solid line of 2,014 passing yards with 13 touchdowns to two interceptions through nine starts.

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Arkansas State runs a pure pass-first attack, leaving little room for the run game to materialize. Johnnie Lang leads the team with 363 rushing yards and five touchdowns after an injury to Brian Snead. Seydou Traore has been dynamic from the tight end slot, and he leads the Red Wolves in receptions (41) and receiving yards (562).

Texas State dropped to 3-7 after losing to South Alabama in Mobile in Week 11. The Jaguars would win this battle of Cats after taking a 17-0 lead into the break, SALA would pull away with the 38-21 win. Texas State scores 22.4 points per game, while passing for 232.4 yards per game (129th), and rushing for 88.2 ypg (270th). The Texas State defense allows 26.2 points per game.

Layne Hatcher will make his 11th start for the Bobcats , and this serves as a revenge game for the former Ark. State quarterback. Hatcher started three seasons worth of action for the Red Wolves, and he surpassed the 2,000-yard mark for fourth time here with the Bobcats. Hatcher has thrown for 2.324 passing yards with 19 touchdowns to nine interceptions this season.

Lincoln Pare leads the team in with 476 rushing yards through 10 appearances. Ashtyn Hawkins reached the 100-yard mark four times, and leads the Bobcats in receptions (56), receiving yards (587), and touchdown catches (7).

Just as I rolled with James Blackmon in his final home collegiate start last weekend, this feels like the ultimate revenge for former Texas State QB Layne Hatcher. After spending three years in Jonesboro, Hatcher can hand his former team their eighth loss in style, and I like them covering along the way. Take Texas State’s spread here.

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Corey’s Pick Texas State -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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