San Jose State at San Diego State - 11/12/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The San Jose State Spartans will head down the coast and take on the San Diego State Aztecs for their annual matchup from Snapdragon Stadium this weekend on FS1. The San Jose State/San Diego State rivalry dates all the way back to 1935. The series renewed when the Spartans joined the Mountain West in 2013, and the Aztecs hold a head-to-hed lead of 23-20-2.

San Jose State jumped to 6-2 after taking down Colorado State at home in Week 10. The Spartans trailed at halftime, but they rallied with a big second half to stay atop the West division in the MWC. San Jose State averages 27.1 points per game, while passing for 280.4 yards per game (45th), and rushing for 89.3 ypg (267th).

Chevan Cordeiro continues to put up winning numbers and results for SJSU. The Hawaii transfer has come in, and put the Spartans in position to host their first Mountain West title game ever. Cordeiro nearly led San Jose State to a monumental upset over Auburn, and since Week 2, he’s been impressive, with his UNLV performance standing out. Cordeiro went for a season-high 340 yards against Nevada in Week 9, and he’ll look to break down the stiffest defense he’s faced. Cordeiro has thrown for a MWC-leading 2,224 passing yards with eleven touchdowns to two interceptions, and rushed for seven scores through eight starts.

SJSU doesn’t run often, but when they do Kairee Robinson handles the work. The senior back has been steady in his role, and he’s scored twice in back-to-back games. Robinson leads SJSU with 447 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. Nevada transfers Elijah Cooks and Justin Lockhart have been Cordeiro’s primary targets. Cooks has been dialed in over the past three games, and he leads the team in receptions (43), receiving yards (701), and touchdowns (4). Lockhart has complemented with 26 catches and 428 yards.

San Diego Aztecs improved to 5-4 after beating UNLV at home in Week 10. The Aztecs defeated the Rebels in patent Brady Hoke fashion, stifling them for four quarters, and picking up the 14-10 win. San Diego State is scoring 19.6 points per game, while passing for 145.9 yards per game (261st), and rushing for 164.1 ypg (113th). The SDSU defense allows 21.3 points per game.

It’s been a revolving door at quarterback for Brady Hoke, but he might have his guy in Jalen Mayden. After a pedestrian approach with seasoned vet Braxton Burmeister, Mayden started versus Hawaii and delivered with the highest passing output of both his career and the season for the Aztecs. The senior QB performed well against Nevada, then nearly led San Diego State to a road win over Fresno State with a four-touchdown performance. Mayden is up to 985 passing yards with five touchdowns to three interceptions, and 110 rushing yards with three scores through four starts.

SDSU has taken a true committee approach in the backfield this season. Senior back Jordan Byrd leads the unit with 363 rushing yards and three scores. Jaylon Armstead returned to the lineup last week and gained 72 yards to improve his season total to 262 rushing yards. Senior wideouts Tyrell Shavers and Jesse Matthews have come alive with some stability at the position. Shavers posted career-highs in the win over Hawaii, and he leads the team with 366 receiving yards on 26 catches. Matthews leads the team in receptions (28) and he’s scored in back-to-back games.

San Jose State is 4-4 against the spread this season, with a 2-1 record on the road. San Diego State is 3-6 against the spread this season, with a 1-5 record at home. The over is 6-2 in Huskies games this season.

California’s two sneakiest programs will collide in an unusually high stakes battle. San Jose State currently clings to a one-game lead atop the division, and San Diego State sits right behind them, with a streaking Fresno State cramped in between. 

SDSU has underwhelmed this year, but they, themselves are streaking at the right time, and they could spoil their rivals' opportunity at conference gold here. SJSU will come in with an advantage at quarterback in Cordeiro, but this will represent his toughest test in two months.

I like a nasty, physical game here, with both schools defending at a high rate. A lot of punts, and whoever wins the turnover battle will win the game. The Spartans are appealing here with a division lead and a chance to host their first conference championship, but the spoiler alert aspect feels real here. Take the under for this year’s SJSU/SDSU matchup.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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