The New Mexico Lobos and Air Force Falcons face off on Saturday in a college football showdown at Falcon Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2021 it was Air Force that secured the 38-10 victory.
New Mexico comes into this game with a 2-7 record overall and they have gone 3-5-1 against the spread. Over the last three games, New Mexico’s offense has scored only 28 points total and that isn’t good enough. In the last game against Utah State, Justin Holaday completed 7 of his 18 passes for 42 yards. Running back Nathaniel Jones had a big game rushing 21 times for 146 yards and a touchdown. New Mexico is averaging 16 points while their defense is giving up 25.1 points per game. The offense is ranked 127th and needs to be a lot better in this game.
On the other side of this matchup is Air Force who sits with a 6-3 record and they have gone 4-5 against the spread. In the last game against Army, Air Force only scored 13 points, but that was still enough to secure the six-point victory. Running back Brad Roberts had a big game rushing 33 times for 135 yards. Air Force is averaging 28.9 points while their defense is giving up 15.7 points per game. The defense is ranked seventh best in college football.
New Mexico is 16-40-1 against the spread in their last 57 games overall. Air Force is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games. New Mexico is 7-3 against the spread in the last ten meetings against Air Force. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings played between the two teams. The under is 12-2 in the Falcons last 14 home games against a team with a losing road record.
Air Force’s defense is elite and they are facing off against a Lobos team that has trouble scoring against bad defenses. I also don’t see Air Force scoring enough to push close to this total. Air Force is going to score enough for a comfortable victory, but the under is going to cash here.
AUTHOR: Shane Mickle
