Georgia at Mississippi State - 11/12/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

Daijun Edwards and Kenny McIntosh lead  the Bulldog running back committee. Edwards has scored seven times in the last five games, and he rushed for a season-high 106 yards in the win over Florida. Edwards leads the Dawgs with 442 rushing yards, while McIntosh has added 332 rushing yards, 29 catches and 265 receiving yards through nine games. Ladd McConkey leads the team with 38 receptions, while electric tight end Brock Bowers leads Georgia with 574 receiving yards after a big game versus the Gators.

Mississippi State improved to 6-3 after defeating Auburn in Week 10.  The Bulldogs blew a 24-3 lead, but avoided disaster by winning the game in overtime by six. Mike Leach’s antics were comical last weekend, but the final result almost dealt the Bulldogs a late Halloween treat. Mississippi State scores 32.6 points per game, while passing for 325.6 yards per game (12th), and rushing for 80.7 ypg (274th).

Will Rogers continues to shatter record, but his last three games have been a bit shaky. The junior quarterback threw for a season-low 203 yards in the loss to Kentucky, before an abysmal outing in Tuscaloosa against Alabama. He bounced back a bit last week with 357 yards and three scores, but the offense failed to put Auburn away and nearly dropped a third straight game. Rogers will have to be on his A-game if he wants to pull something crazy off here. Rogers has thrown for a nation-leading 2,912 passing yards with 26 touchdowns to five interceptions on the season.

Dillon Johnson and Jo'Quavious Marks handle the minimal rushing work for State. Dillon has caught 36 passes, and rushed for a team-lead 406 yards but he's been quiet on the ground for three weeks. Marks has caught 36 passes as well, rushed for 357 yards and scored seven times. Rara Thomas leads a group of heavily used receivers. Thomas scored twice last weekend and leads the team with 540 receiving yards, while sophomore wideout Rufus Harvey leads State with 38 receptions. Caleb Ducking has recorded 37 catches, for 396 yards, and a SEC-leading eight touchdowns.

Georgia is 6-3 against the spread this season, with a 1-1 record on the road. Mississippi State is 4-5 against the spread this season, with a 2-3 record on the road. The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

As much as I’d love to spot the master of the Air Raid the points here, the Bulldogs are locked in and they know what time of year it is. Kirby Smart has got this group ready, and after last week’s performance, the Dawgs know they can’t let their feet off the gas. 

It’s unlikely Stark Vegas gets up for this to a point of intimidation after last week’s effort, so roll with the dialed in Dawgs here. Their path to SEC Championship has been paved, and it’s time to execute at the highest level. Take Georgia’s spread for this SEC clash Saturday night.