Boise State at Nevada - 11/12/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Boise State Broncos will play the Nevada Wolf Pack in a Mountain West Game on Saturday night at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada.

The Boise State Broncos are 6-3 (5-0) this season after they lost to BYU by a score of 31-28 in their last game. Boise State allowed 532 total yards and allowed BYU to go 7-12 on third down attempts in the game. The Boise State offense is averaging 28.7 points per game with 185 passing yards per game and 171.2 rushing yards per game. Taylen Green has thrown for 1,082 yards, six touchdowns, and four interceptions, while also rushing for 272 yards and five touchdowns for the Broncos this season. George Holani has rushed for 730 yards and eight scores, while Latrell Caples has caught 31 passes for 309 yards and three touchdowns for Boise State. The Boise State defense is giving up 18.9 points per game and 265.6 yards per game.

The Nevada Wolf Pack are 2-7 (0-5) this season after they lost to San Jose State by a score of 35-28 in their last game. Nevada led this game 21-7 in the third quarter, but allowed San Jose State to score 28 of the final 35 points for the loss. The Nevada offense is averaging 20.8 points per game with 175.9 passing yards per game and 108 rushing yards per game. Shane Illingworth has thrown for 638 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions for the Wolf Pack this season. Toa Taua has rushed for 571 yards and 10 scores, while BJ Casteel has caught 33 passes for 397 yards and two touchdowns for Nevada. The Nevada defense is allowing 29.1 points per game and 379.1 yards per game.

Boise State is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The over is 4-1 in Boise State’s last 5 games. Nevada is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. The over is 9-4-1 in Nevada’s last 14 home games. The under is 6-2 in these two teams last 8 head to head meetings.

Nevada has not found much success this season, but did play San Jose State tough last week. Boise State is coming off of a loss to BYU, but remains undefeated in Mountain West play. I expect Boise State to win this game, but I like Nevada with the points.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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