Troy at Louisiana-Lafayette - 11/5/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Troy Trojans will play the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns in a Sun Belt Conference Game on Saturday evening at Cajun Field in Lafayette, Louisiana.

The Troy Trojans are 6-2 (4-1) this season after they defeated South Alabama by a score of 10-6 in their last game. Troy held South Alabama to 255 total yards and forced one turnover in the win. The Troy offense is averaging 22.5 points per game with 290.9 passing yards per game and 91.9 rushing yards per game. Gunnar Watson has thrown for 1,745 yards, six touchdowns, and seven interceptions for the Trojans this season. DK Billingsley has rushed for 472 yards and four scores, while Tez Johnson has caught 26 passes for 536 yards and three touchdowns for Troy. The Troy defense is giving up 17.6 points per game and 330.3 yards per game.

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-4 (2-3) this season after they lost to Southern Miss by a score of 39-24 in their last game. Louisiana out gained Southern Miss by a total of 439-339, but turned the ball over four times and went 0-5 on fourth down attempts in the game. The Louisiana offense is averaging 26.4 points per game with 245.5 passing yards per game and 121.4 rushing yards per game. Ben Wooldridge has thrown for 1,356 yards, 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions for the Ragin’ Cajuns this season. Chris Smith has rushed for 311 yards and two touchdowns, while Michael Jefferson has caught 30 passes for 566 yards and five scores for Louisiana. The ULL defense is allowing 21.5 points per game and 342 yards per game.

Troy is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 November games. The under is 4-0 in Troy’s last 4 conference games. Louisiana is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. The under is 17-4 in Louisiana’s last 21 home games. The road team is 5-2 ATS in these two teams last 7 head to head meetings.

Troy is currently in first place in their division of the Sun Belt standings, but only leads South Alabama and Southern Miss by a half of game. Troy doesn’t score a ton of points, but they play very good defense. Louisiana is a higher scoring team, but also allows more points. I like Louisiana with the points at home, as I think they could easily win this game outright.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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