South Carolina at Vanderbilt - 11/5/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The South Carolina Gamecocks will travel and play the Vanderbilt Commodores this Saturday from FirstBank Stadium on the SEC Network. South Carolina and Vanderbilt have crossed paths in every season since 1992, often serving as a get right spot for the Gamecocks, as they lead the all-time series 32-7, and they've won 13 meetings in a row.

South Carolina dropped to 5-3 after losing a battle of Columbia's to Missouri in Week 9. Just after capitalizing on the Williams-Bryce crowd versus Texas A&M, SC flopped and lost on their homecoming day, being outgained 367-203 along the way. South Carolina is scoring 30.3 points per game, passing for 225.1 yards per game (150th), and rushing for 127.3 ypg (197th). The SC defense is allowing 24.6 points per game.

Spencer Rattler’s struggles have hindered the program this season. The former OU quarterback has failed to toss a touchdown pass in four games this season, with his homecoming performance glaring last weekend. It’s Vanderbilt, so maybe things change here, but it appears Rattler is pretty much who is at this point, an average college quarterback. Rattler has passed for 1,637 yards with five touchdowns to nine interceptions on the year.

Marshawn Lloyd handles the run game here for the Gamecocks. Lloyd couldn’t get anything going versus Mizzou, but he’s been the main reason they have a positive record this season. Lloyd had a huge day against Charlotte, dashing for 169 yards and three scores, and he found the endzone twice in the victory against A&M. Lloyd leads the Gamecocks with  556 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. Antwane Wells transferred over from JMU and became the number one option. The junior wideout got off for a career-high 189 yards in his first taste of SEC action versus Arkansas, and he's been steady since. Wells leads SC in receptions (37) and receiving yards (464).

Vanderbilt dropped to 3-5 after losing to Missouri in Columbia in Week 8. Vandy nearly spoiled Mizzou’s homecoming after holding them scoreless after the break, eventually falling by three points. Vanderbilt scores 26.6 points per game, while passing for 202.6 yards per game (197th), and rushing for 138.4 ypg (164th). The Vandy defense allows 36.6 points per game.

AJ Swann was replaced by Mike Wright in the second half, which may have led to Vandy’s slight comeback. Wright may likely get the call again this Saturday after tossing a touchdown last weekend. Wright has passed for 553 yards with seven touchdowns to one interception through four starts.

Ray Davis has been solid for Vandy out of the backfield this year. The senior back gained over 100 yards in each of their non-conference games, and he rushed for 105 yards and a touchdown versus Ole Miss. Davis leads the Commodores with 564 rushing yards, 21 catches and six total touchdowns (4 rush, 2 rec). Will Sheppard leads Vandy in receptions (41), receiving yards (525), and eight touchdowns.

South Carolina is 5-3 against the spread this season, with a 1-1 record on the road. Vanderbilt is 3-5 against the spread this season, with a 0-3 record at home. The over is 5-3 in the last eight meetings this season.

Last weekend was a letdown for South Carolina on their homecoming day, and they can’t have any jet lag here in Nashville this weekend. Mike Wright is an upgrade at the position for the Commodores, and Spencer Rattler has been far from sharp for Shane Beamer’s team this season.

You have to put that aside when you realize it’s Vanderbilt football and a seven-point margin. As sneaky as the Commodores can be, there’s also a high chance of them faltering, and this is a manageable spot for a team looking to get back in the column.

Bet on South Carolina to bounce back and take their spread here.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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