North Carolina at Virginia - 11/5/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

Virginia Cavaliers (3-5) vs North Carolina Tar Heels (7-1)

Game Info: Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 12:00 pm (David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium)

Betting Odds: Virginia Cavaliers +7.5 -- Over/Under: 60.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The North Carolina Tar Heels will play the Virginia Cavaliers in an ACC Game on Saturday afternoon at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Virginia.

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 7-1 (4-0) this season after they defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 42-24 in their last game. North Carolina trailed by 10 points in the third quarter, but was able to score the final 28 points in the game for the win. The North Carolina offense is averaging 41.8 points per game with 334.4 passing yards per game and 167.6 rushing yards per game. Drake Maye has thrown for 2,671 yards, 29 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while also rushing for 439 yards and three touchdowns for the Tar Heels this season. Omarion Hampton has rushed for 358 yards and six scores, while Antoine Green has caught 23 passes for 564 yards and six touchdowns for North Carolina. The North Carolina defense is giving up 31.4 points per game and 462.6 yards per game.

The Virginia Cavaliers are 3-5 (1-4) this season after they lost to Miami in overtime by a score of 14-12 in their last game. Virginia led this game 6-3 late in the fourth quarter, but allowed Miami to tie the game with a field goal as time expired. The Virginia offense is averaging 16.5 points per game with 228.3 passing yards per game and 131.6 rushing yards per game. Brennan Armstrong (questionable) has thrown for 1,826 yards, six touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while also rushing for 353 yards and four touchdowns for the Cavaliers this season. Perris Jones (questionable) has rushed for 365 yards and two touchdowns, while Keytaon Thompson has caught 53 passes for 579 yards for Virginia. The Virginia defense is allowing 21.5 points per game and 340.5 yards per game.

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North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 18-8 in North Carolina’s last 26 road games. Virginia is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The under is 5-1 in Virginia’s last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in these two teams last 4 head to head meetings.

Virginia is a very low scoring team that isn’t even averaging 17 points per game, while North Carolina is averaging almost 42 points per game. North Carolina is leading their division and has yet to lose in ACC play. With how bad the Virginia offense has been, I like the under here.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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