Michigan State at Illinois - 11/5/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Michigan State Spartans will play the Illinois Fighting Illini in a Big Ten Conference Game on Saturday afternoon at Memorial Stadium in Champaign, Illinois.

The Michigan State Spartans are 3-5 (1-4) this season after they lost to Michigan by a score of 29-7 in their last game. Michigan State only gained 252 total yards and went 2-11 on third down attempts in the loss. The Michigan State offense is averaging 24.8 points per game with 239.4 passing yards per game and 97.5 rushing yards per game. Payton Thorne has thrown for 1,714 yards, 12 touchdowns, and eight interceptions for the Spartans this season. Jalen Berger has rushed for 384 yards and five scores, while Keon Coleman has caught 36 passes for 548 yards and six touchdowns for Michigan State. The MSU defense is giving up 27.4 points per game and 424.9 yards per game.

The Illinois Fighting Illini are 7-1 (4-1) this season after they defeated Nebraska by a score of 26-9 in their last game. Illinois held Nebraska to 248 total yards and forced four turnovers in the win. The Illinois offense is averaging 26 points per game with 212.1 passing yards per game and 197.6 rushing yards per game. Tommy DeVito has thrown for 1,594 yards, 12 touchdowns, and two interceptions for the Fighting Illini this season. Chase Brown has rushed for 1,208 yards and five scores, while Isaiah Williams has caught 56 passes for 439 yards and three touchdowns for Illinois. The Illinois defense is allowing 8.9 points per game and 224.5 yards per game.

Michigan State is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 November games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. The under is 6-2 in Michigan State’s last 8 road games. Illinois is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games. The under is 5-1-1 in Illinois’ last 7 games. The road team is 5-2 ATS in these two teams last 7 head to head meetings.

Michigan State comes into this game missing a few players due to suspension and will be facing a very good Illinois defense. Illinois leads the Big Ten West and is looking to add onto their winning streak. Michigan State struggled on offense against Michigan and will have more issues here against a stingy Illinois defense. I like the under in this game.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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