Liberty at Arkansas - 11/5/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Liberty Flames and Arkansas Razorbacks face off on Saturday in a college football showdown at Razorback Stadium. 

Liberty comes into this game with a 7-1 record overall and their only loss came by a point against Wake Forest earlier in the season. In the last game against BYU, Liberty scored 41 points and they were able to secure a blowout victory. Under center for Liberty has been Johnathan Bennett and he completed 24 of his 49 passes for 247 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Running back Dae Dae Hunter finished with 23 carries for 213 yards and a touchdown. Liberty is averaging 31.1 points while their defense is giving up 21.5 points per game. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Arkansas Razorbacks who sit with a 5-3 record overall and they have won two games in a row. In the last game against Auburn the offense scored 41 points, and that led to the 14-point victory. KJ Jefferson completed 16 of his 24 passes for 234 yards, one touchdown, and zero interceptions. Arkansas is averaging 33.8 points while their defense is giving up 31.9 points per game. In this game if Arkansas wants to find success, the defense is going to need to be strong. 

The Flames are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games against a team with a winning record. Arkansas is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games following an against-the-spread win. The over is 4-0 in the Flames last four road games. Arkansas is 4-0 against the spread in their last four games overall. The over is 4-1 in Razorbacks last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Liberty is being disrespected with this line. The only loss came by a point against Wake Forest, but even in that game the offense was strong. I expect Johnathan Bennett is going to find offensive success against an Arkansas defense that has had issues at times. Look for Liberty to get over their season average of 31 points, and that will be enough to cover the spread. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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