Florida State at Miami-FL - 11/5/22 College Football Picks and Prediction

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The Florida State Seminoles will head south and take on the Miami Hurricanes for some rivalry football this Saturday night on ABC. Once one of the most prominent rivalries in college football, the Noles and the Canes have crossed paths over 65 times, even fitting meeting in the 2004 Orange Bowl. Miami leads the all-time series 35-31, but Florida State won last year's meeting in Tallahassee, 31-28.

Florida State improved to 5-3 after defeating Georgia Tech at home in Week 9. The Seminoles snapped a three-game losing streak with a dominant win over the Yellow Jackets, massively outgaining them 642-264. Florida State scores 32.7 points per game, while passing for 277.5 yards per game (35th), and rushing for 209.6 ypg (37th). The Seminole defense allows 21.8 points per game.

Jordan Travis is starting to put it together here in his third year behind center. The junior quarterback enjoyed one of the best outings of his career versus GT, tossing for a season-high 396 yards and three touchdowns. Travis played well versus three of the ACC’s premier teams, and he’s going to give the Canes trouble here. Travis has thrown for 2,057 passing yards with 14 touchdowns to three interceptions, and he’s ran for 215 rushing yards and two scores through eight starts this season.

An injury to leading rusher Treshaun Ward led to Trey Benson and Lawrence Toafili taking on bigger roles. Benson set a new career-high in the win over GT with 111 yards, while Toafili gained 154 all-purpose yards and scored a rushing and receiving touchdown. Benson is up to 483 rushing yards and three touchdowns for the season, while Toafili has gained 497 yards from scrimmage (315 rush, 172 rec) and scored six total touchdowns. ASU transfer Johnny Wilson leads FSU in receptions (30) and receiving yards (603).

Miami improved to 4-4 after defeating Virginia in Charlottesville in Week 9. The Canes picked up their second win in the Commonwealth this month, outlasting UVA in a nasty overtime game, and picking up the two-point win. Miami scores 27.4 points per game, while passing for 291.6 yards per game (35th), and rushing for 132.3 ypg (181st). The Hurricane defense allows 22.5 points per game.

A season-ending injury to Tyler Van Dyke will cast a cloud on this matchup. Jake Garcia guided Miami to victory in the mountains, but field goals simply won’t be enough this weekend. If the moment is too big for the true freshman, it will be a long nite for the Hurricanes. Garcia has passed for 323 yards with two touchdowns to three interceptions through two starts.

Henry Parrish Jr. leads the team in rushing after a big game versus the Cavs. Parrish went out and posted a season-high 113 yards in the win, bringing his season totals to 554 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Tight end Will Mallory has been the most reliable target this season, and he leads the team with 28 catches for 371 receiving yards. Colbie Young came alive outside during the month of October, catching 23 passes for 326 yards and a team-leading four scores during that span.

Florida State is 6-2 against the spread this season, with a 1-2 record on the road. Miami is 3-5 against the spread this season, with a 2-3 record at home. The under is 5-2 in previous seven matchups.

This one used to be circled on all of our calendars. Prior to becoming ACC rivals, the Florida State/Miami rivalry was one of the most intense in college football. We’ve come a long way since then, but this one should still get the best out of both Sunshine squads.

Florida State will come into this one with momentum and a distinct advantage at the best position on the field. Jordan Travis is flourishing this season, while the Canes will tot out a true freshman, placing him in the biggest spot of his young career. One thing you can count on from both sides is for the defenses to come to play. This one means both war and more in the state of Florida. Miami's has performed well defensively, aside from a pair of random meltdowns. They should get up for this one at home, and be the ultimate deciding factor.

Look for some hard-hitting, rugged, south Florida football this weekend in Miami, and take the under for this Sunshine showdown.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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